England · League Cup

Sunderland vs Hull City

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Sunderland 6.1% Draw 24.7% Hull City 69.2%

Over 2.5 - 32% BTTS - 24%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

94%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 22.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Hull City: 11 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

22.8%

Exact-score model probability

Sunderland

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Hull City

D W D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 7:1 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sunderland win6.1%

Draw24.7%

Hull City win69.2%

Over 1.5 goals59.5%

Over 2.5 goals31.5%

Over 3.5 goals13.7%

Both teams to score23.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Away

90.9%

Under 3.5 Goals

86.3%

Over 0.5 Goals

86.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.9%

Draw No Bet - Away90.9%

Home or Away (12)77.3%

Away Win70.2%

Both Halves Over 0.538.8%

Goal in Both Halves38.8%

Home or Draw (1X)29.8%

Exactly 1 Goal27.5%

Draw22.7%

Draw No Bet - Home9.1%

Home Win7.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.5%

Under 4.5 Goals95.0%

Under 3.5 Goals86.3%

Over 0.5 Goals86.0%

1-3 Goals72.3%

Under 2.5 Goals68.5%

Over 1.5 Goals58.5%

1-2 Goals54.6%

2-4 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

2-3 Goals44.8%

Under 1.5 Goals41.5%

Over 2.5 Goals31.5%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

3-4 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals17.8%

Under 0.5 Goals14.0%

Exactly 0 Goals14.0%

Over 3.5 Goals13.7%

4+ Goals13.7%

Over 4.5 Goals5.0%

Over 5.5 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score80.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)77.2%

Away Clean Sheet71.7%

Away Win to Nil57.7%

Home Team to Score28.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)22.8%

Home Clean Sheet19.5%

Home Win to Nil5.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.580.5%

Home Exactly 071.7%

Away Over 1.548.6%

Away Exactly 131.9%

Home Over 0.528.3%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 123.9%

Away Over 2.522.6%

Away 3+ Goals22.6%

Away Exactly 019.5%

Home Over 1.54.5%

Home Exactly 24.0%

Home Over 2.50.5%

Home 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home81.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw29.7%

Away to win by 129.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw22.3%

Away to win by 222.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.3%

Away to win by 3+18.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.0%

Home to win by 16.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.9%

Home to win by 20.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.560.9%

Away & No BTTS57.7%

Away & Under 2.541.5%

Away & Over 2.528.7%

Draw & Under 2.521.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.3%

BTTS & Over 2.515.2%

Away & BTTS12.5%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Home & No BTTS5.5%

Home & Under 2.55.4%

Home & Over 2.51.6%

Home & BTTS1.6%

Draw & Over 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.577.8%

HT Over 0.558.8%

HT Away Win47.0%

HT Draw45.9%

HT/FT Away/Away44.6%

HT Under 0.541.2%

2nd Half More Goals39.7%

Equal Goals Each Half30.9%

1st Half More Goals29.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away24.3%

HT Over 1.522.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.2%

HT Both Teams Score7.2%

HT Home Win7.0%

HT/FT Home/Home3.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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