UEFA Europa Conference League

Sutjeska vs ML Vitebsk

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

Sutjeska 4.1% Draw 11.2% ML Vitebsk 84.7%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 67%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 11.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to ML Vitebsk: 0 points versus 3 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.8%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

67%

Market does not fully agree

Sutjeska

L L L

Form 0-0-3 Goals 1:7 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 2.33

ML Vitebsk

W L L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Sutjeska 0wins ·0 draws ·ML Vitebsk 1wins

Sutjeska 0-3 ML VitebskJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sutjeska win4.1%

Draw11.2%

ML Vitebsk win84.7%

Over 1.5 goals89.4%

Over 2.5 goals72.2%

Over 3.5 goals51.4%

Both teams to score45.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

89.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

85.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)94.9%

Draw No Bet - Away94.8%

Home or Away (12)89.6%

Away Win84.9%

Both Halves Over 0.571.1%

Goal in Both Halves71.1%

Home or Draw (1X)14.6%

Draw9.9%

Exactly 1 Goal8.8%

Draw No Bet - Home5.2%

Home Win4.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals88.4%

Under 5.5 Goals82.8%

Over 2.5 Goals71.8%

Under 4.5 Goals68.2%

2-4 Goals56.6%

Over 3.5 Goals51.1%

4+ Goals51.1%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals48.9%

1-3 Goals46.0%

3-4 Goals40.0%

2-3 Goals37.2%

Over 4.5 Goals31.8%

Under 2.5 Goals28.2%

1-2 Goals25.4%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Over 5.5 Goals17.2%

Exactly 2 Goals16.5%

Under 1.5 Goals11.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.1%

Away Clean Sheet52.5%

Away Win to Nil50.2%

Home Team to Score47.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.9%

Home Clean Sheet4.5%

Home Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 1.581.2%

Away Over 2.559.6%

Away 3+ Goals59.6%

Home Exactly 052.5%

Home Over 0.547.0%

Home Exactly 133.6%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Away Exactly 113.9%

Home Over 1.513.4%

Home Exactly 210.7%

Away Exactly 04.5%

Home Over 2.52.7%

Home 3+ Goals2.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away94.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home85.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)84.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home72.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away67.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home53.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away46.4%

Away to win by 3+46.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home32.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away27.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.1%

Away to win by 221.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home14.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away14.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw13.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw3.6%

Home to win by 13.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.9%

Home to win by 20.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.566.2%

Away & No BTTS50.2%

BTTS & Over 2.540.2%

Away & BTTS34.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.0%

Away & Under 2.518.7%

Draw & BTTS7.6%

Draw & Under 2.57.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Draw & Over 2.52.9%

Home & Over 2.52.7%

Home & BTTS2.6%

Home & No BTTS2.1%

Home & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.5%

HT Away Win65.8%

HT/FT Away/Away63.4%

HT Over 1.550.3%

HT Under 1.549.7%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw26.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.1%

HT Both Teams Score18.8%

HT Under 0.518.5%

HT Home Win7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Home/Home2.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.4%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Sutjeska win0%

Draw50%

ML Vitebsk win50%

AdviceWinner : ML Vitebsk

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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