Germany · 2. Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld

Kick-off 17:30 · Fri, Sep 11

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

SV Darmstadt 98 11.1% Draw 18.7% Arminia Bielefeld 70.2%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Arminia Bielefeld: 2 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

SV Darmstadt 98

L L D L D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:9 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Arminia Bielefeld

W L W L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

SV Darmstadt 98 win11.1%

Draw18.7%

Arminia Bielefeld win70.2%

Over 1.5 goals86.0%

Over 2.5 goals65.5%

Over 3.5 goals43.6%

Both teams to score55.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.4%

Away Over 0.5

91.4%

Draw or Away (X2)

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.9%

Draw No Bet - Away85.5%

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Away Win71.1%

Both Halves Over 0.565.9%

Goal in Both Halves65.9%

Home or Draw (1X)28.8%

Draw16.7%

Draw No Bet - Home14.5%

Home Win12.0%

Exactly 1 Goal11.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals84.9%

Under 4.5 Goals75.0%

Over 2.5 Goals65.4%

2-4 Goals59.9%

Under 3.5 Goals56.5%

1-3 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.5%

4+ Goals43.5%

2-3 Goals41.4%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.6%

1-2 Goals31.0%

Over 4.5 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.5%

Under 1.5 Goals15.1%

Over 5.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.4%

Home Team to Score59.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.2%

Away Clean Sheet40.0%

Away Win to Nil36.6%

Home Clean Sheet8.5%

Home Win to Nil5.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.4%

Away Over 1.570.3%

Home Over 0.559.9%

Away Over 2.544.5%

Away 3+ Goals44.5%

Home Exactly 040.0%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Home Over 1.523.3%

Away Exactly 121.0%

Home Exactly 216.7%

Away Exactly 08.5%

Home Over 2.56.5%

Home 3+ Goals6.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)71.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away28.3%

Away to win by 3+28.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.2%

Away to win by 122.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.7%

Away to win by 220.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 18.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.9%

Home to win by 22.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%

Home to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.552.4%

BTTS & Over 2.547.1%

Away & No BTTS36.6%

Away & BTTS34.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.8%

Away & Under 2.518.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.4%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Draw & Under 2.511.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Home & Over 2.57.5%

Home & BTTS6.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

Home & No BTTS5.1%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.1%

HT Under 1.555.2%

HT Away Win53.2%

HT/FT Away/Away48.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT Over 1.544.8%

HT Draw33.1%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half22.4%

HT Under 0.521.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.2%

HT Home Win13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT/FT Home/Home6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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