Germany · 2. Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli

Kick-off 17:30 · Fri, Oct 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

SV Darmstadt 98 16.7% Draw 23.7% FC St. Pauli 59.6%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 10.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.1%

Exact-score model probability

SV Darmstadt 98

L L L D L D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.5

FC St. Pauli

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

SV Darmstadt 98 win16.7%

Draw23.7%

FC St. Pauli win59.6%

Over 1.5 goals81.3%

Over 2.5 goals57.6%

Over 3.5 goals35.2%

Both teams to score55.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.7%

Away Team to Score

86.5%

Away Over 0.5

86.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.0%

Home or Away (12)78.9%

Draw No Bet - Away77.2%

Away Win60.9%

Both Halves Over 0.559.8%

Goal in Both Halves59.8%

Home or Draw (1X)39.1%

Draw No Bet - Home22.8%

Draw21.1%

Home Win18.0%

Exactly 1 Goal15.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals81.6%

Over 1.5 Goals80.0%

Under 3.5 Goals64.8%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.8%

Over 2.5 Goals57.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.8%

Under 2.5 Goals42.4%

3-4 Goals39.2%

1-2 Goals37.4%

Over 3.5 Goals35.2%

4+ Goals35.2%

Exactly 2 Goals22.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.0%

Over 4.5 Goals18.4%

Over 5.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.5%

Home Team to Score62.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.6%

Away Clean Sheet37.1%

Away Win to Nil32.1%

Home Clean Sheet13.5%

Home Win to Nil8.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.5%

Home Over 0.562.8%

Away Over 1.559.5%

Home Exactly 037.1%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Over 2.532.5%

Away 3+ Goals32.5%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 127.0%

Home Over 1.526.0%

Home Exactly 218.2%

Away Exactly 013.5%

Home Over 2.57.8%

Home 3+ Goals7.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home81.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)60.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)39.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home39.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.9%

Away to win by 123.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.6%

Away to win by 218.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.4%

Away to win by 3+18.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.5%

Home to win by 24.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.7%

Home to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.544.4%

Away & Over 2.540.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.5%

Away & No BTTS32.1%

Away & BTTS28.8%

Away & Under 2.520.1%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Under 2.514.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.1%

Home & Over 2.510.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Home & BTTS9.5%

Home & No BTTS8.5%

Home & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.0%

HT Under 1.561.0%

HT Away Win45.0%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT/FT Away/Away39.3%

HT Over 1.539.0%

HT Draw37.5%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.0%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT Both Teams Score21.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.5%

HT Home Win17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.3%

HT/FT Home/Home9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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