Germany · 2. Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91% confidence

SV Darmstadt 98 1.4% Draw 7.6% Holstein Kiel 91.0%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 31%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 15.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Holstein Kiel: 1 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.9%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

31%

Market does not fully agree

SV Darmstadt 98

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 2:18 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 3

Holstein Kiel

L L W L L W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

SV Darmstadt 98 win1.4%

Draw7.6%

Holstein Kiel win91.0%

Over 1.5 goals87.5%

Over 2.5 goals69.0%

Over 3.5 goals47.5%

Both teams to score27.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Win

90.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away98.1%

Draw or Away (X2)97.6%

Home or Away (12)92.6%

Away Win90.9%

Both Halves Over 0.568.7%

Goal in Both Halves68.7%

Exactly 1 Goal10.0%

Home or Draw (1X)8.5%

Draw6.7%

Draw No Bet - Home1.9%

Home Win1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Over 1.5 Goals86.5%

Under 5.5 Goals85.4%

Under 4.5 Goals71.8%

Over 2.5 Goals68.6%

2-4 Goals58.3%

Under 3.5 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-3 Goals49.3%

Over 3.5 Goals47.2%

4+ Goals47.2%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.3%

Under 2.5 Goals31.4%

Over 4.5 Goals28.2%

1-2 Goals28.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals14.6%

Under 1.5 Goals13.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.1%

Away Clean Sheet71.4%

Away Win to Nil68.6%

Home Team to Score28.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.9%

Home Clean Sheet3.9%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.5%

Away Over 1.582.8%

Home Exactly 071.4%

Away Over 2.562.2%

Away 3+ Goals62.2%

Home Over 0.528.0%

Home Exactly 123.6%

Away Exactly 220.6%

Away Exactly 112.7%

Home Over 1.54.4%

Home Exactly 23.9%

Away Exactly 03.9%

Home Over 2.50.5%

Home 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)90.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)90.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home80.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away75.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home65.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away55.1%

Away to win by 3+55.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home44.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away34.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home23.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.8%

Away to win by 220.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw20.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away18.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)8.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home8.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away8.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.5%

Home to win by 11.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 20.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS68.6%

Away & Over 2.567.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.544.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.8%

Away & Under 2.523.9%

BTTS & Over 2.523.9%

Away & BTTS22.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.8%

Draw & BTTS3.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Home & Over 2.50.7%

Home & BTTS0.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.9%

HT Away Win71.8%

HT/FT Away/Away70.6%

HT Under 1.552.3%

HT Over 1.547.7%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.2%

HT Both Teams Score10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.7%

HT Home Win3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Home0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.8%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

SV Darmstadt 98 win50%

Draw50%

Holstein Kiel win0%

AdviceDouble chance : SV Darmstadt 98 or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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