Germany · Bundesliga

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

47% confidence

SV Elversberg 26.2% Draw 27.3% Bayer Leverkusen 46.5%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Bayer Leverkusen win at 46.5%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Bayer Leverkusen: 7 points versus 10 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.07 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

SV Elversberg win

26.2%

1X2 model probability

Draw

27.3%

1X2 model probability

Bayer Leverkusen win

46.5%

1X2 model probability

SV Elversberg

W L W L D

Form 2-1-2 Goals 12:8 Scored/game 2.4 Conceded/game 1.6

Bayer Leverkusen

D L W W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

SV Elversberg win26.2%

Draw27.3%

Bayer Leverkusen win46.5%

Over 1.5 goals74.4%

Over 2.5 goals97.3%

Over 3.5 goals26.7%

Both teams to score92.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.2%

Goal in Both Halves94.2%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Draw No Bet - Home77.6%

Home or Draw (1X)77.1%

Home Win64.9%

Draw or Away (X2)30.9%

Draw No Bet - Away22.4%

Away Win18.7%

Draw12.2%

Exactly 1 Goal0.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.2%

Over 3.5 Goals88.5%

4+ Goals88.5%

Over 4.5 Goals80.0%

Over 5.5 Goals67.9%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals32.1%

Under 4.5 Goals20.0%

2-4 Goals15.2%

3-4 Goals13.2%

Under 3.5 Goals11.5%

1-3 Goals7.2%

Under 2.5 Goals6.8%

2-3 Goals6.7%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 3 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

1-2 Goals2.5%

Exactly 2 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.7%

Away Team to Score89.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.9%

Home Clean Sheet6.6%

Home Win to Nil6.6%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.7%

Home Over 1.589.7%

Away Over 0.589.2%

Home Over 2.578.5%

Home 3+ Goals78.5%

Away Over 1.571.4%

Away Over 2.547.8%

Away 3+ Goals47.8%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Away Exactly 117.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 06.6%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away60.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.3%

Home to win by 3+35.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home22.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 215.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 18.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.3%

Away to win by 25.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.7%

Away to win by 3+4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.2%

Home & Over 2.563.8%

Home & BTTS58.4%

Away & Over 2.518.2%

Away & BTTS17.7%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

Draw & Over 2.511.2%

Home & No BTTS6.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.0%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.0%

HT Over 1.583.2%

HT Both Teams Score60.7%

HT Home Win56.4%

2nd Half More Goals52.9%

HT/FT Home/Home49.4%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Away Win22.2%

HT Draw21.4%

HT Under 1.516.8%

Equal Goals Each Half14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.7%

HT/FT Away/Away11.4%

HT/FT Away/Home6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT Under 0.54.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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