Germany · Bundesliga

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05

Kick-off 20:30 · Fri, Oct 30

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

43% confidence

SV Elversberg 43.2% Draw 25.4% FSV Mainz 05 31.3%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

80%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is SV Elversberg win at 43.2%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to FSV Mainz 05: 7 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

SV Elversberg win

43.2%

1X2 model probability

Draw

25.4%

1X2 model probability

FSV Mainz 05 win

31.3%

1X2 model probability

SV Elversberg

L W L D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

FSV Mainz 05

L W L W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 16:13 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

SV Elversberg win43.2%

Draw25.4%

FSV Mainz 05 win31.3%

Over 1.5 goals79.9%

Over 2.5 goals98.2%

Over 3.5 goals34.1%

Both teams to score95.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.5%

Goal in Both Halves95.5%

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Draw or Away (X2)66.1%

Draw No Bet - Away63.5%

Away Win52.1%

Home or Draw (1X)44.0%

Draw No Bet - Home36.5%

Home Win30.0%

Draw14.0%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals94.3%

Over 3.5 Goals90.9%

4+ Goals90.9%

Over 4.5 Goals84.2%

Over 5.5 Goals74.0%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals26.0%

Under 4.5 Goals15.8%

2-4 Goals11.5%

3-4 Goals10.1%

Under 3.5 Goals9.1%

Under 2.5 Goals5.7%

1-3 Goals5.2%

2-3 Goals4.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.0%

Exactly 3 Goals3.5%

1-2 Goals1.7%

Exactly 2 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.7%

Home Team to Score92.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil3.2%

Home Clean Sheet1.4%

Home Win to Nil1.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.7%

Home Over 0.592.9%

Away Over 1.588.9%

Home Over 1.581.9%

Away Over 2.576.3%

Away 3+ Goals76.3%

Home Over 2.563.3%

Home 3+ Goals63.3%

Home Exactly 218.6%

Away Exactly 212.5%

Home Exactly 110.9%

Away Exactly 15.9%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Away Exactly 01.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home82.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)30.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away24.4%

Away to win by 3+24.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 213.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.6%

Home to win by 111.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.0%

Home to win by 3+10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.4%

Home to win by 28.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.9%

Away & Over 2.551.5%

Away & BTTS49.0%

Home & Over 2.529.6%

Home & BTTS28.7%

Draw & BTTS13.9%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.4%

Away & No BTTS3.2%

Home & No BTTS1.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Draw & Under 2.50.7%

BTTS & Under 2.50.7%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.8%

HT Over 1.586.0%

HT Both Teams Score67.0%

2nd Half More Goals53.6%

HT Away Win47.1%

HT/FT Away/Away37.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win30.9%

HT Draw22.0%

HT/FT Home/Home19.5%

Equal Goals Each Half14.1%

HT Under 1.514.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.9%

HT/FT Home/Away6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.3%

HT Under 0.53.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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