England · Championship

Swansea vs Blackburn

Full time · 4:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Swansea 59.8% Draw 22.3% Blackburn 17.9%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 62%

✓ Pick was correct (4:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Blackburn: 12 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.8%

Exact-score model probability

Swansea

L L W W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Blackburn

W L W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Swansea win59.8%

Draw22.3%

Blackburn win17.9%

Over 1.5 goals85.8%

Over 2.5 goals64.9%

Over 3.5 goals42.9%

Both teams to score61.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.2%

Home Team to Score

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.8%

Home or Away (12)80.0%

Draw No Bet - Home76.1%

Both Halves Over 0.565.4%

Goal in Both Halves65.4%

Home Win60.9%

Draw or Away (X2)39.1%

Draw No Bet - Away23.9%

Draw19.9%

Away Win19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.8%

Over 1.5 Goals84.6%

Under 4.5 Goals75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals64.8%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.2%

1-3 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.8%

4+ Goals42.8%

2-3 Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.2%

1-2 Goals31.6%

Over 4.5 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.8%

Under 1.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.8%

Away Team to Score68.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.3%

Home Clean Sheet31.6%

Home Win to Nil28.0%

Away Clean Sheet11.2%

Away Win to Nil7.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.8%

Away Over 0.568.4%

Home Over 1.564.3%

Home Over 2.537.4%

Home 3+ Goals37.4%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 1.532.0%

Away Exactly 031.6%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 124.5%

Away Exactly 221.0%

Home Exactly 011.2%

Away Over 2.511.0%

Away 3+ Goals11.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.6%

Home to win by 122.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.0%

Home to win by 3+20.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.9%

Away to win by 111.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 25.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away to win by 3+2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.8%

Home & Over 2.544.7%

Home & BTTS32.8%

Home & No BTTS28.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.2%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Home & Under 2.516.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.1%

Away & Over 2.512.7%

Draw & Under 2.512.5%

Away & BTTS11.5%

BTTS & Under 2.58.9%

Away & No BTTS7.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.5%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Under 1.555.7%

HT Home Win46.0%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.3%

HT/FT Home/Home39.8%

HT Draw35.1%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT Away Win18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%

HT/FT Away/Away10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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