England · Championship

Swansea vs West Ham

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Swansea 44.7% Draw 23.9% West Ham 31.4%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to West Ham: 13 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Swansea

W W W W L D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

West Ham

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 21:5 Scored/game 3.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Swansea win44.7%

Draw23.9%

West Ham win31.4%

Over 1.5 goals88.6%

Over 2.5 goals69.8%

Over 3.5 goals48.6%

Both teams to score70.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

87.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.3%

Both Halves Over 0.569.2%

Goal in Both Halves69.2%

Home or Draw (1X)67.5%

Draw No Bet - Home58.6%

Draw or Away (X2)54.1%

Home Win45.9%

Draw No Bet - Away41.4%

Away Win32.5%

Draw21.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.5%

Under 5.5 Goals84.4%

Under 4.5 Goals70.6%

Over 2.5 Goals69.8%

2-4 Goals58.0%

Under 3.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals48.7%

Over 3.5 Goals48.6%

4+ Goals48.6%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals38.9%

Under 2.5 Goals30.2%

Over 4.5 Goals29.4%

1-2 Goals27.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.0%

Away Team to Score80.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.7%

Home Clean Sheet19.5%

Home Win to Nil16.8%

Away Clean Sheet14.0%

Away Win to Nil11.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.0%

Away Over 0.580.5%

Home Over 1.558.5%

Away Over 1.548.6%

Away Exactly 131.9%

Home Over 2.531.5%

Home 3+ Goals31.5%

Home Exactly 127.5%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 2.522.6%

Away 3+ Goals22.6%

Away Exactly 019.5%

Home Exactly 014.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 116.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.8%

Home to win by 213.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.0%

Home to win by 3+12.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.5%

Away to win by 29.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.3%

Away to win by 3+6.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.5%

Home & Over 2.535.3%

Home & BTTS29.1%

Away & Over 2.524.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.4%

Away & BTTS21.2%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Home & No BTTS16.8%

Draw & Under 2.511.5%

Away & No BTTS11.2%

Home & Under 2.510.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Away & Under 2.58.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.3%

HT Under 1.551.8%

HT Over 1.548.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Home Win36.8%

HT Draw34.9%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score30.6%

HT/FT Home/Home28.7%

HT Away Win28.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.7%

HT/FT Away/Away19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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