Spain · Copa del Rey

Tavernes vs Valencia

Kick-off 21:00 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Tavernes 60.0% Draw 23.7% Valencia 16.3%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 55%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 10.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.3%

Exact-score model probability

Tavernes

No recent results stored yet

Valencia

L D D L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Tavernes win60.0%

Draw23.7%

Valencia win16.3%

Over 1.5 goals80.9%

Over 2.5 goals56.9%

Over 3.5 goals34.5%

Both teams to score54.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

92.0%

Home Team to Score

86.4%

Home Over 0.5

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.4%

Home or Away (12)78.9%

Draw No Bet - Home77.7%

Home Win61.3%

Both Halves Over 0.559.3%

Goal in Both Halves59.3%

Draw or Away (X2)38.7%

Draw No Bet - Away22.3%

Draw21.1%

Away Win17.6%

Exactly 1 Goal15.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.8%

Under 5.5 Goals92.0%

Under 4.5 Goals82.1%

Over 1.5 Goals79.6%

Under 3.5 Goals65.5%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.3%

Over 2.5 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.0%

Under 2.5 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals39.0%

1-2 Goals37.9%

Over 3.5 Goals34.5%

4+ Goals34.5%

Exactly 2 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.4%

Over 4.5 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals8.0%

Under 0.5 Goals5.2%

Exactly 0 Goals5.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.4%

Away Team to Score62.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)53.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.4%

Home Clean Sheet38.0%

Home Win to Nil32.8%

Away Clean Sheet13.5%

Away Win to Nil8.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.4%

Away Over 0.562.0%

Home Over 1.559.3%

Away Exactly 038.0%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Over 2.532.3%

Home 3+ Goals32.3%

Home Exactly 127.1%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Over 1.525.2%

Away Exactly 217.8%

Home Exactly 013.5%

Away Over 2.57.4%

Away 3+ Goals7.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.0%

Home to win by 124.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.5%

Home to win by 3+18.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 111.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 24.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.6%

Home & Over 2.540.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.533.1%

Home & No BTTS32.8%

Home & BTTS28.5%

Home & Under 2.520.6%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

Draw & Under 2.515.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.3%

Away & Over 2.510.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Away & BTTS9.2%

Away & No BTTS8.4%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.7%

HT Under 1.561.4%

HT Home Win45.2%

2nd Half More Goals44.5%

HT/FT Home/Home39.6%

HT Over 1.538.6%

HT Draw37.7%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.3%

Equal Goals Each Half24.2%

HT Both Teams Score20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.6%

HT Away Win17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.4%

HT/FT Away/Away9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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