Netherlands · Eredivisie

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Telstar 62.4% Draw 24.4% ADO Den Haag 13.2%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: Telstar 2 wins, 0 draws, ADO Den Haag 0 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

Telstar

L D L D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 3:12 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2

ADO Den Haag

D L L D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 7:15 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 2

Telstar 2wins ·0 draws ·ADO Den Haag 0wins

Telstar 1-0 ADO Den HaagMay 17, 2025

Telstar 2-0 ADO Den HaagMay 13, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Telstar win62.4%

Draw24.4%

ADO Den Haag win13.2%

Over 1.5 goals75.5%

Over 2.5 goals92.8%

Over 3.5 goals27.4%

Both teams to score74.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Home or Away (12)

89.3%

HT Over 0.5

85.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.3%

Home or Draw (1X)93.2%

Home or Away (12)89.3%

Home Win83.4%

Both Halves Over 0.577.8%

Goal in Both Halves77.8%

Draw or Away (X2)15.8%

Draw9.8%

Draw No Bet - Away6.7%

Away Win6.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals92.1%

Over 2.5 Goals79.7%

Under 5.5 Goals74.1%

Over 3.5 Goals61.9%

4+ Goals61.9%

Under 4.5 Goals57.4%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-4 Goals49.5%

Over 4.5 Goals42.6%

Under 3.5 Goals38.1%

3-4 Goals37.1%

1-3 Goals35.9%

2-3 Goals30.2%

Over 5.5 Goals25.9%

Under 2.5 Goals20.3%

1-2 Goals18.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.8%

Exactly 2 Goals12.4%

Under 1.5 Goals7.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score58.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.2%

Home Clean Sheet40.4%

Home Win to Nil39.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.584.8%

Home Over 2.565.7%

Home 3+ Goals65.7%

Away Over 0.558.7%

Away Exactly 040.4%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Over 1.522.4%

Home Exactly 219.0%

Away Exactly 216.3%

Home Exactly 111.1%

Away Over 2.56.2%

Away 3+ Goals6.2%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)67.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home67.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away51.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.7%

Home to win by 3+47.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 116.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 14.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.3%

Away to win by 21.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.571.1%

BTTS & Over 2.552.7%

Home & BTTS44.3%

Home & No BTTS39.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.3%

Home & Under 2.512.3%

Draw & BTTS8.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.4%

Away & Over 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & BTTS4.0%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.7%

HT Home Win66.0%

HT/FT Home/Home63.0%

HT Over 1.558.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.3%

HT Under 1.542.0%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score26.1%

HT Draw24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.5%

HT Under 0.514.3%

HT Away Win9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Away/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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