Netherlands · Eredivisie

Telstar vs Ajax

Kick-off 15:45 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Telstar 28.2% Draw 27.8% Ajax 44.0%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Ajax: 13 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Telstar

L W W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:7 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Ajax

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 17:8 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

Telstar 0wins ·0 draws ·Ajax 2wins

Telstar 2-3 AjaxJan 11, 2026

Telstar 0-2 AjaxAug 10, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Telstar win28.2%

Draw27.8%

Ajax win44.0%

Over 1.5 goals77.8%

Over 2.5 goals92.8%

Over 3.5 goals30.1%

Both teams to score87.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.1%

Both Halves Over 0.583.7%

Goal in Both Halves83.7%

Draw or Away (X2)80.3%

Draw No Bet - Away77.3%

Away Win65.0%

Home or Draw (1X)34.4%

Draw No Bet - Home22.7%

Home Win19.1%

Draw15.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals86.9%

Over 3.5 Goals72.9%

4+ Goals72.9%

Under 5.5 Goals62.3%

Over 4.5 Goals55.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals44.7%

2-4 Goals40.1%

Over 5.5 Goals37.7%

3-4 Goals31.6%

Under 3.5 Goals27.1%

1-3 Goals25.9%

2-3 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.1%

Under 2.5 Goals13.1%

1-2 Goals11.8%

Exactly 2 Goals8.4%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.3%

Home Team to Score82.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.5%

Away Clean Sheet16.5%

Away Win to Nil15.9%

Home Clean Sheet4.1%

Home Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 0.582.9%

Away Over 1.582.3%

Away Over 2.561.5%

Away 3+ Goals61.5%

Home Over 1.553.2%

Home Exactly 129.7%

Home Over 2.526.6%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home 3+ Goals26.6%

Away Exactly 220.9%

Home Exactly 016.5%

Away Exactly 113.0%

Away Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)69.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home69.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home52.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away46.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.6%

Away to win by 3+29.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.2%

Away to win by 118.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 217.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away16.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 110.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.4%

Home to win by 25.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.5%

Home to win by 3+3.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.6%

Away & Over 2.559.3%

Away & BTTS49.1%

Home & Over 2.516.8%

Away & No BTTS15.9%

Home & BTTS15.7%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Away & Under 2.55.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.6%

BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Home & No BTTS3.4%

Home & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.4%

HT Over 1.565.7%

HT Away Win52.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT/FT Away/Away45.3%

HT Both Teams Score42.3%

HT Under 1.534.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.9%

HT Home Win21.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.0%

HT/FT Home/Home11.2%

HT Under 0.510.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.7%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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