Netherlands · Eredivisie

Telstar vs Feyenoord

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Telstar 16.0% Draw 22.8% Feyenoord 61.1%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Feyenoord: 3 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

Telstar

D L D L D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Feyenoord

W W W W L W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 21:8 Scored/game 3.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

Telstar 0wins ·0 draws ·Feyenoord 2wins

Telstar 1-2 FeyenoordFeb 22, 2026

Telstar 1-2 FeyenoordNov 30, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Telstar win16.0%

Draw22.8%

Feyenoord win61.1%

Over 1.5 goals82.7%

Over 2.5 goals97.0%

Over 3.5 goals37.4%

Both teams to score91.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

92.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.9%

Goal in Both Halves87.9%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Draw or Away (X2)80.8%

Draw No Bet - Away78.8%

Away Win66.9%

Home or Draw (1X)31.9%

Draw No Bet - Home21.2%

Home Win18.0%

Draw13.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals90.7%

Over 3.5 Goals80.0%

4+ Goals80.0%

Over 4.5 Goals64.9%

Under 5.5 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Over 5.5 Goals48.0%

Under 4.5 Goals35.1%

2-4 Goals31.4%

3-4 Goals25.7%

Under 3.5 Goals20.0%

1-3 Goals18.4%

2-3 Goals16.4%

Exactly 3 Goals10.7%

Under 2.5 Goals9.3%

1-2 Goals7.7%

Exactly 2 Goals5.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score85.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.9%

Away Clean Sheet13.4%

Away Win to Nil13.0%

Home Clean Sheet2.7%

Home Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.586.4%

Home Over 0.585.4%

Away Over 2.568.9%

Away 3+ Goals68.9%

Home Over 1.558.7%

Home Over 2.531.9%

Home 3+ Goals31.9%

Home Exactly 126.7%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 217.5%

Home Exactly 013.4%

Away Exactly 19.7%

Away Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)66.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home65.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away50.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home48.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)33.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away33.3%

Away to win by 3+33.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home31.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 116.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 216.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 19.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.1%

Home to win by 25.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.6%

Home to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.5%

Away & Over 2.563.2%

Away & BTTS53.9%

Home & Over 2.516.5%

Home & BTTS15.7%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Away & No BTTS13.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & Under 2.53.7%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Home & No BTTS2.3%

Home & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.0%

HT Over 1.571.9%

HT Away Win54.6%

2nd Half More Goals50.7%

HT/FT Away/Away47.9%

HT Both Teams Score47.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.1%

HT Draw24.7%

HT Home Win20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.3%

HT/FT Home/Home10.6%

HT Under 0.58.0%

HT/FT Home/Away5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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