Netherlands · Eredivisie

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Aug 14

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Telstar 55.0% Draw 26.1% Sparta Rotterdam 18.9%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Telstar: 13 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Telstar

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Sparta Rotterdam

L L L D L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 5:16 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.67

Head to head · last 2

Telstar 1wins ·0 draws ·Sparta Rotterdam 1wins

Telstar 4-1 Sparta RotterdamApr 22, 2026

Telstar 0-1 Sparta RotterdamOct 25, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Telstar win55.0%

Draw26.1%

Sparta Rotterdam win18.9%

Over 1.5 goals76.5%

Over 2.5 goals88.1%

Over 3.5 goals28.7%

Both teams to score46.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

Home Win

86.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.5%

Home or Draw (1X)94.7%

Home or Away (12)90.9%

Home Win86.8%

Both Halves Over 0.578.4%

Goal in Both Halves78.4%

Draw or Away (X2)12.0%

Draw7.9%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Draw No Bet - Away4.5%

Away Win4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.1%

Over 2.5 Goals80.1%

Under 5.5 Goals73.5%

Over 3.5 Goals62.6%

4+ Goals62.6%

Under 4.5 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

2-4 Goals48.7%

Over 4.5 Goals43.4%

Under 3.5 Goals37.4%

3-4 Goals36.7%

1-3 Goals35.0%

2-3 Goals29.5%

Over 5.5 Goals26.5%

Under 2.5 Goals19.9%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.4%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals7.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score52.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.8%

Home Clean Sheet46.2%

Home Win to Nil45.0%

Away Clean Sheet2.7%

Away Win to Nil1.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.5%

Home Over 2.568.9%

Home 3+ Goals68.9%

Away Over 0.552.6%

Away Exactly 046.2%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Away Over 1.517.5%

Home Exactly 217.5%

Away Exactly 213.3%

Home Exactly 19.7%

Away Over 2.54.1%

Away 3+ Goals4.1%

Home Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away79.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home72.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away64.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)53.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home53.6%

Home to win by 3+53.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)45.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away45.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)34.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home34.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away26.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home19.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 218.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home9.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 13.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.574.1%

BTTS & Over 2.547.7%

Home & No BTTS45.0%

Home & BTTS41.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.532.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.3%

Home & Under 2.512.7%

Draw & BTTS6.7%

Draw & Under 2.54.7%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Away & Over 2.52.7%

Away & BTTS2.6%

Away & No BTTS1.4%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Home Win69.9%

HT/FT Home/Home67.6%

HT Over 1.558.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score23.3%

HT Draw22.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT Away Win7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Away/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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