UEFA Europa Conference League

The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn

Kick-off 18:30 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

81% confidence

The New Saints 5.3% Draw 13.8% Flora Tallinn 80.9%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 48%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Flora Tallinn: 0 points versus 4 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

48%

Market does not fully agree

The New Saints

L L L

Form 0-0-3 Goals 1:5 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Flora Tallinn

W D L

Form 1-1-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

The New Saints 0wins ·0 draws ·Flora Tallinn 1wins

The New Saints 0-1 Flora TallinnJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

The New Saints win5.3%

Draw13.8%

Flora Tallinn win80.9%

Over 1.5 goals86.2%

Over 2.5 goals66.3%

Over 3.5 goals44.4%

Both teams to score45.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

89.7%

Home or Away (12)

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)93.8%

Draw No Bet - Away93.1%

Home or Away (12)87.5%

Away Win81.5%

Both Halves Over 0.566.5%

Goal in Both Halves66.5%

Home or Draw (1X)18.3%

Draw12.3%

Exactly 1 Goal11.2%

Draw No Bet - Home6.9%

Home Win6.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.1%

Over 1.5 Goals85.3%

Under 4.5 Goals74.3%

Over 2.5 Goals66.1%

2-4 Goals59.6%

Under 3.5 Goals55.7%

1-3 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals44.3%

4+ Goals44.3%

2-3 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.9%

1-2 Goals30.4%

Over 4.5 Goals25.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.2%

Under 1.5 Goals14.7%

Over 5.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.8%

Away Clean Sheet52.7%

Away Win to Nil49.4%

Home Team to Score47.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.2%

Home Clean Sheet6.2%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.6%

Away Over 1.576.3%

Home Exactly 052.7%

Away Over 2.552.3%

Away 3+ Goals52.3%

Home Over 0.547.1%

Home Exactly 133.6%

Away Exactly 224.0%

Away Exactly 117.3%

Home Over 1.513.5%

Home Exactly 210.8%

Away Exactly 06.2%

Home Over 2.52.7%

Home 3+ Goals2.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away93.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home78.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away61.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away39.5%

Away to win by 3+39.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home38.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw22.0%

Away to win by 222.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away21.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 120.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home18.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.6%

Home to win by 14.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.2%

Home to win by 21.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.559.7%

Away & No BTTS49.4%

BTTS & Over 2.538.3%

Away & BTTS32.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.8%

Away & Under 2.521.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.1%

Draw & BTTS9.0%

BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Home & Over 2.53.3%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Home & BTTS3.1%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Home & Under 2.52.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.5%

HT Away Win61.6%

HT/FT Away/Away58.7%

HT Under 1.554.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.5%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw29.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.1%

HT Both Teams Score17.8%

HT Home Win8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Home/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.4%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

The New Saints win0%

Draw50%

Flora Tallinn win50%

AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Flora Tallinn and -2.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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