Italy · Serie A

Torino vs AS Roma

Kick-off 17:30 · Mon, Sep 14

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Torino 17.1% Draw 23.0% AS Roma 59.9%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to AS Roma: 7 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Torino

W L L D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

AS Roma

D W W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 15:2 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.33

Head to head · last 5

Torino 1wins ·0 draws ·AS Roma 4wins

Torino 0-2 AS RomaJan 18, 2026

Torino 1-0 AS RomaSep 14, 2025

Torino 0-2 AS RomaMay 25, 2025

Torino 0-1 AS RomaOct 31, 2024

Torino 2-3 AS RomaFeb 26, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Torino win17.1%

Draw23.0%

AS Roma win59.9%

Over 1.5 goals73.4%

Over 2.5 goals86.0%

Over 3.5 goals26.5%

Both teams to score63.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

91.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.4%

Draw No Bet - Away90.5%

Home or Away (12)87.0%

Away Win78.8%

Both Halves Over 0.573.1%

Goal in Both Halves73.1%

Home or Draw (1X)20.9%

Draw12.6%

Draw No Bet - Home9.5%

Home Win8.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals89.8%

Under 5.5 Goals80.3%

Over 2.5 Goals74.5%

Under 4.5 Goals65.0%

2-4 Goals54.8%

Over 3.5 Goals54.5%

4+ Goals54.5%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals45.5%

1-3 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.3%

Over 4.5 Goals35.0%

Under 2.5 Goals25.5%

1-2 Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.7%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.6%

Home Team to Score59.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.4%

Away Clean Sheet40.0%

Away Win to Nil38.0%

Home Clean Sheet5.0%

Home Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 1.579.7%

Home Over 0.559.6%

Away Over 2.557.3%

Away 3+ Goals57.3%

Home Exactly 040.0%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Home Over 1.523.1%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Home Exactly 216.6%

Away Exactly 115.0%

Home Over 2.56.5%

Home 3+ Goals6.5%

Away Exactly 05.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)78.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home77.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)59.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away59.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home39.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away39.2%

Away to win by 3+39.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home20.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.6%

Away to win by 220.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 118.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 15.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.9%

Home to win by 21.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.6%

Home to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.563.8%

BTTS & Over 2.551.1%

Away & BTTS40.8%

Away & No BTTS38.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.7%

Away & Under 2.515.0%

Draw & BTTS10.6%

Draw & Under 2.57.5%

Home & Over 2.55.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Home & BTTS5.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Home & No BTTS3.0%

Home & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Away Win60.7%

HT/FT Away/Away56.9%

HT Over 1.552.5%

HT Under 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw28.1%

HT Both Teams Score24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.5%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT Home Win11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Home/Home4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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