Italy · Serie A

Torino vs Lecce

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Torino 52.7% Draw 26.8% Lecce 20.6%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Torino: 10 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Torino 2 wins, 1 draws, Lecce 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Torino

L L W W W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Lecce

L L L W L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 5

Torino 2wins ·1 draws ·Lecce 2wins

Torino 1-0 LecceFeb 1, 2026

Torino 1-2 LecceNov 30, 2025

Torino 0-1 LecceMay 18, 2025

Torino 0-0 LecceSep 15, 2024

Torino 2-0 LecceFeb 16, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Torino win52.7%

Draw26.8%

Lecce win20.6%

Over 1.5 goals66.0%

Over 2.5 goals87.2%

Over 3.5 goals19.2%

Both teams to score81.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.3%

Home or Draw (1X)77.3%

Draw No Bet - Home71.9%

Both Halves Over 0.570.5%

Goal in Both Halves70.5%

Home Win57.7%

Draw or Away (X2)42.2%

Draw No Bet - Away28.1%

Away Win22.6%

Draw19.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals88.3%

Under 5.5 Goals83.1%

Over 2.5 Goals71.4%

Under 4.5 Goals68.8%

2-4 Goals57.1%

Over 3.5 Goals50.5%

4+ Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals49.5%

1-3 Goals47.0%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals37.8%

Over 4.5 Goals31.2%

Under 2.5 Goals28.6%

1-2 Goals26.1%

Exactly 3 Goals20.9%

Over 5.5 Goals16.9%

Exactly 2 Goals16.9%

Under 1.5 Goals11.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score75.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.3%

Home Clean Sheet24.7%

Home Win to Nil22.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil7.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.575.2%

Home Over 1.566.9%

Away Over 1.540.7%

Home Over 2.540.4%

Home 3+ Goals40.4%

Away Exactly 134.5%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 024.7%

Away Exactly 224.1%

Home Exactly 123.0%

Away Over 2.516.6%

Away 3+ Goals16.6%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.3%

Home to win by 121.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.3%

Home to win by 3+19.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.7%

Home & Over 2.545.4%

Home & BTTS35.5%

Home & No BTTS22.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.6%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Away & Over 2.516.7%

Away & BTTS15.0%

Home & Under 2.512.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

Draw & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Away & No BTTS7.5%

Away & Under 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.1%

HT Under 1.550.4%

HT Over 1.549.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.7%

HT Home Win44.7%

HT/FT Home/Home37.7%

HT Draw33.4%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score30.1%

HT Away Win21.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.3%

HT Under 0.518.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT/FT Away/Away13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions