USA · Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs DC United

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Toronto FC 63.9% Draw 13.9% DC United 22.2%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 77.8% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 22.2% on the only losing outcome.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to DC United: 5 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

77.8%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

22.2%

Only the uncovered result loses

Toronto FC

L L L W D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33

DC United

D D W L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Toronto FC 0wins ·0 draws ·DC United 1wins

Toronto FC 1-2 DC UnitedJul 26, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Toronto FC win63.9%

Draw13.9%

DC United win22.2%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.8%

Over 3.5 goals91.1%

Both teams to score92.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.2%

Away Team to Score

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.4%

Goal in Both Halves93.4%

Home or Away (12)83.7%

Home or Draw (1X)75.3%

Draw No Bet - Home74.2%

Home Win62.1%

Draw or Away (X2)34.8%

Draw No Bet - Away25.8%

Away Win21.6%

Draw13.2%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.8%

Over 3.5 Goals88.4%

4+ Goals88.4%

Over 4.5 Goals78.9%

Over 5.5 Goals65.9%

Total Goals Odd48.5%

Total Goals Even48.5%

Under 5.5 Goals34.1%

Under 4.5 Goals21.1%

2-4 Goals17.2%

3-4 Goals14.9%

Under 3.5 Goals11.6%

1-3 Goals8.5%

2-3 Goals7.8%

Under 2.5 Goals6.2%

Exactly 3 Goals5.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

1-2 Goals3.0%

Exactly 2 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score90.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.0%

Home Clean Sheet6.5%

Home Win to Nil6.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.5%

Away Win to Nil1.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Away Over 0.590.4%

Home Over 1.589.3%

Home Over 2.576.3%

Home 3+ Goals76.3%

Away Over 1.572.8%

Away Over 2.549.0%

Away 3+ Goals49.0%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 117.6%

Home Exactly 213.0%

Away Exactly 06.5%

Home Exactly 16.2%

Home Exactly 01.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.9%

Home to win by 3+31.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 115.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 215.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.7%

Away to win by 19.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 3+5.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.9%

Home & Over 2.560.8%

Home & BTTS55.7%

Away & Over 2.521.0%

Away & BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS13.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.0%

Home & No BTTS6.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Away & No BTTS1.4%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.5%

HT Over 1.581.7%

HT Both Teams Score59.8%

HT Home Win53.4%

2nd Half More Goals52.6%

HT/FT Home/Home45.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win24.3%

HT Draw22.3%

HT Under 1.518.3%

Equal Goals Each Half15.0%

HT/FT Away/Away13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.6%

HT/FT Away/Home6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.4%

HT Under 0.54.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners73.7%

Over 8.5 Corners70.3%

Away Most Corners67.9%

Under 11.5 Corners65.8%

Over 9.5 Corners58.3%

Under 10.5 Corners54.1%

Over 10.5 Corners45.9%

Under 9.5 Corners41.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Over 11.5 Corners34.2%

Under 8.5 Corners29.7%

Home Most Corners21.6%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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