USA · Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Toronto FC 16.9% Draw 25.6% New England Revolution 57.5%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 12.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 3 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.1%

Exact-score model probability

Toronto FC

D L D D L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

New England Revolution

L D W D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Toronto FC 0wins ·1 draws ·New England Revolution 0wins

Toronto FC 0-0 New England RevolutionJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Toronto FC win16.9%

Draw25.6%

New England Revolution win57.5%

Over 1.5 goals76.5%

Over 2.5 goals50.6%

Over 3.5 goals28.6%

Both teams to score50.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

86.3%

Under 4.5 Cards

84.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

84.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)81.7%

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Draw No Bet - Away76.3%

Away Win58.9%

Both Halves Over 0.554.4%

Goal in Both Halves54.4%

Home or Draw (1X)41.1%

Draw No Bet - Home23.7%

Draw22.8%

Home Win18.3%

Exactly 1 Goal18.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.3%

Over 0.5 Goals93.3%

Under 4.5 Goals86.3%

Over 1.5 Goals75.1%

Under 3.5 Goals71.4%

1-3 Goals64.7%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals49.4%

2-3 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals42.6%

3-4 Goals36.9%

Over 3.5 Goals28.6%

4+ Goals28.6%

Under 1.5 Goals24.9%

Exactly 2 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals13.7%

Under 0.5 Goals6.7%

Exactly 0 Goals6.7%

Over 5.5 Goals5.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score83.6%

Home Team to Score59.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.4%

Away Clean Sheet40.9%

Away Win to Nil34.2%

Home Clean Sheet16.4%

Home Win to Nil9.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.583.6%

Home Over 0.559.1%

Away Over 1.553.9%

Home Exactly 040.9%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 129.7%

Away Over 2.527.1%

Away 3+ Goals27.1%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Over 1.522.5%

Away Exactly 016.4%

Home Exactly 216.3%

Home Over 2.56.2%

Home 3+ Goals6.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home41.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.0%

Away to win by 125.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.2%

Away to win by 218.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.7%

Away to win by 3+15.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.4%

Home to win by 112.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.5%

Home to win by 24.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.5%

Home to win by 3+1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.538.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.538.5%

Away & Over 2.535.8%

Away & No BTTS34.2%

Away & BTTS24.7%

Away & Under 2.523.1%

Draw & Under 2.517.6%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Home & No BTTS9.7%

Home & Over 2.59.6%

Home & Under 2.58.7%

Home & BTTS8.6%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.3%

HT Under 1.565.7%

2nd Half More Goals43.4%

HT Away Win42.7%

HT Draw40.2%

HT/FT Away/Away37.3%

HT Over 1.534.3%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.7%

Equal Goals Each Half25.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.9%

HT Both Teams Score18.4%

HT Home Win17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.1%

HT/FT Home/Home10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners80.9%

Over 9.5 Corners71.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners69.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners66.2%

Over 10.5 Corners59.8%

Under 11.5 Corners52.0%

Over 11.5 Corners48.0%

Away Most Corners47.0%

Home Most Corners41.2%

Under 10.5 Corners40.2%

Under 9.5 Corners28.9%

Under 8.5 Corners19.1%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards93.6%

Under 4.5 Cards84.9%

Under 3.5 Cards69.4%

Over 2.5 Cards52.9%

Under 2.5 Cards47.1%

Over 3.5 Cards30.6%

Over 4.5 Cards15.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards11.2%

Over 5.5 Cards6.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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