USA · Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

46% confidence

Toronto FC 39.0% Draw 14.7% Orlando City SC 46.3%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Orlando City SC win at 46.3%.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Orlando City SC: 5 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Toronto FC win

39%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14.7%

1X2 model probability

Orlando City SC win

46.3%

1X2 model probability

Toronto FC

L L L W D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Orlando City SC

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Toronto FC 0wins ·0 draws ·Orlando City SC 1wins

Toronto FC 0-3 Orlando City SCSep 13, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Toronto FC win39.0%

Draw14.7%

Orlando City SC win46.3%

Over 1.5 goals99.9%

Over 2.5 goals99.1%

Over 3.5 goals97.2%

Both teams to score97.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.597.2%

Goal in Both Halves97.2%

Home or Away (12)79.7%

Draw or Away (X2)56.9%

Draw No Bet - Away54.3%

Home or Draw (1X)50.0%

Draw No Bet - Home45.7%

Away Win43.3%

Home Win36.4%

Draw13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.3%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals92.5%

Over 3.5 Goals90.7%

4+ Goals90.7%

Over 4.5 Goals86.7%

Over 5.5 Goals79.8%

Total Goals Even46.7%

Total Goals Odd46.6%

Under 5.5 Goals20.2%

Under 4.5 Goals13.3%

Under 3.5 Goals9.3%

Under 2.5 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals6.7%

2-4 Goals6.5%

3-4 Goals5.8%

1-3 Goals2.6%

2-3 Goals2.5%

Exactly 3 Goals1.8%

1-2 Goals0.8%

Exactly 2 Goals0.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.2%

Home Team to Score91.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.2%

Away Clean Sheet1.4%

Away Win to Nil1.4%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.2%

Home Over 0.591.9%

Away Over 1.587.4%

Home Over 1.585.8%

Away Over 2.576.4%

Away 3+ Goals76.4%

Home Over 2.573.1%

Home 3+ Goals73.1%

Home Exactly 212.7%

Away Exactly 210.9%

Home Exactly 16.1%

Away Exactly 14.9%

Home Exactly 01.4%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.8%

Away to win by 3+18.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.3%

Home to win by 3+14.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 113.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.3%

Home to win by 112.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.3%

Away to win by 211.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.8%

Home to win by 29.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.5%

Away & Over 2.543.0%

Away & BTTS41.8%

Home & Over 2.536.2%

Home & BTTS35.3%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.0%

Away & No BTTS1.4%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.50.5%

Draw & Under 2.50.3%

BTTS & Under 2.50.3%

Home & Under 2.50.2%

Away & Under 2.50.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.598.0%

HT Over 1.590.1%

HT Both Teams Score73.6%

2nd Half More Goals54.7%

HT Away Win42.2%

HT Home Win36.9%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT/FT Away/Away31.6%

HT/FT Home/Home25.5%

HT Draw20.9%

Equal Goals Each Half13.2%

HT Under 1.59.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.9%

HT/FT Home/Away6.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT Under 0.52.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners83.4%

Under 10.5 Corners74.5%

Under 9.5 Corners63.1%

Home Most Corners56.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners53.0%

Over 8.5 Corners50.0%

Under 8.5 Corners50.0%

Over 9.5 Corners36.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Away Most Corners30.4%

Over 10.5 Corners25.5%

Over 11.5 Corners16.6%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards85.8%

Under 4.5 Cards72.5%

Over 2.5 Cards67.9%

Under 3.5 Cards53.7%

Over 3.5 Cards46.3%

Under 2.5 Cards32.1%

Over 4.5 Cards27.5%

Over 5.5 Cards14.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions