UEFA Europa League

Torreense vs Sunderland

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Torreense 5.2% Draw 23.5% Sunderland 71.3%

Over 2.5 - 32% BTTS - 22%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

95%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 23.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.2%

Exact-score model probability

Torreense

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 0:2 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 1

Sunderland

L L L W D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Torreense win5.2%

Draw23.5%

Sunderland win71.3%

Over 1.5 goals59.8%

Over 2.5 goals31.8%

Over 3.5 goals13.9%

Both teams to score22.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

86.2%

Under 3.5 Goals

86.1%

Away Team to Score

81.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)93.9%

Draw No Bet - Away92.2%

Home or Away (12)78.3%

Away Win72.2%

Both Halves Over 0.539.1%

Goal in Both Halves39.1%

Home or Draw (1X)27.8%

Exactly 1 Goal27.3%

Draw21.7%

Draw No Bet - Home7.8%

Home Win6.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.4%

Under 4.5 Goals94.9%

Over 0.5 Goals86.2%

Under 3.5 Goals86.1%

1-3 Goals72.3%

Under 2.5 Goals68.2%

Over 1.5 Goals58.8%

1-2 Goals54.4%

2-4 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Even51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

2-3 Goals44.9%

Under 1.5 Goals41.2%

Over 2.5 Goals31.8%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

3-4 Goals26.7%

Exactly 3 Goals17.9%

Over 3.5 Goals13.9%

4+ Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals13.8%

Exactly 0 Goals13.8%

Over 4.5 Goals5.1%

Over 5.5 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score81.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)78.9%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Win to Nil60.3%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)21.1%

Home Clean Sheet18.6%

Home Win to Nil4.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.581.4%

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Over 1.550.0%

Away Exactly 131.3%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Away Over 2.523.7%

Away 3+ Goals23.7%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Exactly 018.6%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away93.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)72.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home57.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away42.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw29.6%

Away to win by 129.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw23.0%

Away to win by 223.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.7%

Away to win by 3+19.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.3%

Home to win by 15.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.7%

Home to win by 20.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.561.3%

Away & No BTTS60.3%

Away & Under 2.542.7%

Away & Over 2.529.5%

Draw & Under 2.520.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.7%

BTTS & Over 2.514.1%

Away & BTTS11.9%

Draw & BTTS7.9%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Home & No BTTS4.8%

Home & Over 2.51.3%

Home & BTTS1.3%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.577.6%

HT Over 0.559.0%

HT Away Win48.5%

HT/FT Away/Away46.3%

HT Draw45.3%

HT Under 0.541.0%

2nd Half More Goals39.8%

Equal Goals Each Half30.8%

1st Half More Goals29.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away24.7%

HT Over 1.522.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.7%

HT Both Teams Score6.7%

HT Home Win6.2%

HT/FT Home/Home3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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