England · Premier League

Tottenham vs Everton

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Tottenham 37.3% Draw 30.2% Everton 32.6%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Everton: 7 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Tottenham

D L W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Everton

D D W W L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Tottenham 3wins ·1 draws ·Everton 1wins

Tottenham 1-0 EvertonMay 24, 2026

Tottenham 3-0 EvertonOct 26, 2025

Tottenham 2-3 EvertonJan 19, 2025

Tottenham 4-0 EvertonAug 24, 2024

Tottenham 2-2 EvertonFeb 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Tottenham win37.3%

Draw30.2%

Everton win32.6%

Over 1.5 goals71.5%

Over 2.5 goals81.6%

Over 3.5 goals23.1%

Both teams to score79.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.6%

Both Halves Over 0.574.6%

Goal in Both Halves74.6%

Home or Draw (1X)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Home68.1%

Home Win54.9%

Draw or Away (X2)45.0%

Draw No Bet - Away31.9%

Away Win25.7%

Draw19.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals91.0%

Under 5.5 Goals78.0%

Over 2.5 Goals76.6%

Under 4.5 Goals62.3%

Over 3.5 Goals57.3%

4+ Goals57.3%

2-4 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals42.7%

1-3 Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals38.9%

Over 4.5 Goals37.7%

2-3 Goals33.7%

Under 2.5 Goals23.4%

Over 5.5 Goals22.0%

1-2 Goals21.5%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals14.4%

Under 1.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.9%

Away Team to Score80.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.9%

Home Clean Sheet19.6%

Home Win to Nil17.8%

Away Clean Sheet9.0%

Away Win to Nil7.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.9%

Away Over 0.580.3%

Home Over 1.569.2%

Away Over 1.548.4%

Home Over 2.543.1%

Home 3+ Goals43.1%

Away Exactly 131.9%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Away Over 2.522.4%

Away 3+ Goals22.4%

Home Exactly 121.7%

Away Exactly 019.6%

Home Exactly 09.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.2%

Home to win by 120.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.6%

Home to win by 3+18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 113.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 27.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.6%

Away to win by 3+4.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.1%

Home & Over 2.545.6%

Home & BTTS37.1%

Away & Over 2.520.5%

Away & BTTS18.4%

Home & No BTTS17.8%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.4%

Draw & Over 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & Under 2.58.7%

Away & No BTTS7.2%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.7%

HT Over 1.554.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.545.8%

HT Home Win43.5%

HT/FT Home/Home35.9%

HT Both Teams Score34.4%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw32.0%

HT Away Win24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.2%

HT Under 0.516.3%

HT/FT Away/Away15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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