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Turkey · Süper Lig

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş

Kick-off 18:00 · Mon, Oct 19
📊 Our Prediction
Away +3.5 (Handicap)
79% confidence
Trabzonspor 4.6% Draw 16.2% Beşiktaş 79.2%
Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 33%
🎯 Best Pick
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
95%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Under 4.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
85%
Away Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
79%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 17%, based on the goal model.
Double chance from Poisson
Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 5 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
0-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
17%
Exact-score model probability
Trabzonspor
L L D L W D
Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5
Beşiktaş
W L W W W W
Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.5
Head to head · last 1
Trabzonspor 1wins ·0 draws ·Beşiktaş 0wins
Trabzonspor 2-1 BeşiktaşMay 9, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Trabzonspor win4.6%
Draw16.2%
Beşiktaş win79.2%
Over 1.5 goals77.2%
Over 2.5 goals52.3%
Over 3.5 goals30.1%
Both teams to score33.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score
90.2%
Away Over 0.5
90.2%
Home or Away (12)
85.4%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)94.5%
Draw No Bet - Away93.7%
Home or Away (12)85.4%
Away Win80.0%
Both Halves Over 0.555.7%
Goal in Both Halves55.7%
Home or Draw (1X)20.0%
Exactly 1 Goal17.3%
Draw14.5%
Draw No Bet - Home6.3%
Home Win5.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals93.8%
Over 0.5 Goals93.7%
Under 4.5 Goals85.3%
Over 1.5 Goals76.3%
Under 3.5 Goals69.9%
1-3 Goals63.6%
2-4 Goals61.6%
Over 2.5 Goals52.3%
Total Goals Even50.2%
Total Goals Odd49.8%
Under 2.5 Goals47.7%
2-3 Goals46.2%
1-2 Goals41.4%
3-4 Goals37.6%
Over 3.5 Goals30.1%
4+ Goals30.1%
Exactly 2 Goals24.0%
Under 1.5 Goals23.7%
Exactly 3 Goals22.2%
Over 4.5 Goals14.7%
Under 0.5 Goals6.3%
Exactly 0 Goals6.3%
Over 5.5 Goals6.2%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score90.2%
No Both Teams Score (NG)67.8%
Away Clean Sheet64.3%
Away Win to Nil58.0%
Home Team to Score35.6%
Both Teams Score (GG)32.2%
Home Clean Sheet9.7%
Home Win to Nil3.5%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.590.2%
Away Over 1.567.5%
Home Exactly 064.3%
Away Over 2.541.1%
Away 3+ Goals41.1%
Home Over 0.535.6%
Home Exactly 128.4%
Away Exactly 226.4%
Away Exactly 122.7%
Away Exactly 09.7%
Home Over 1.57.3%
Home Exactly 26.3%
Home Over 2.51.0%
Home 3+ Goals1.0%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.0%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)94.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away94.5%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.4%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.0%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)80.0%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)67.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home67.1%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)56.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away56.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)43.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home43.4%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)32.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away32.9%
Away to win by 3+32.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw23.6%
Away to win by 223.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.5%
Away to win by 123.5%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)20.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home20.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.0%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.4%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.5%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)5.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.4%
Home to win by 14.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.2%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.8%
Home to win by 20.8%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%
Home to win by 3+0.1%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Combos (15)
Away & No BTTS58.0%
Away & Over 2.548.4%
No BTTS & Under 2.541.2%
Away & Under 2.531.6%
No BTTS & Over 2.526.6%
BTTS & Over 2.525.7%
Away & BTTS21.9%
Draw & Under 2.512.7%
Draw & BTTS8.3%
BTTS & Under 2.56.4%
Home & No BTTS3.5%
Home & Under 2.53.4%
Home & Over 2.52.0%
Draw & Over 2.51.9%
Home & BTTS1.9%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.571.3%
HT Under 1.564.6%
HT Away Win58.0%
HT/FT Away/Away55.6%
2nd Half More Goals43.7%
HT Over 1.535.4%
HT Draw35.0%
1st Half More Goals31.1%
HT Under 0.528.7%
Equal Goals Each Half25.2%
HT/FT Draw/Away22.4%
HT Both Teams Score11.7%
HT/FT Draw/Draw10.2%
HT Home Win7.0%
HT/FT Home/Home2.7%
HT/FT Draw/Home2.4%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%
HT/FT Home/Away2.1%
HT/FT Away/Home0.3%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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