UEFA Europa Conference League

Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

81% confidence

Trabzonspor 6.1% Draw 12.9% SC Freiburg 81.0%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to SC Freiburg: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Trabzonspor

L L D L W D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

SC Freiburg

W L L W D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:9 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Trabzonspor win6.1%

Draw12.9%

SC Freiburg win81.0%

Over 1.5 goals90.5%

Over 2.5 goals74.2%

Over 3.5 goals53.9%

Both teams to score53.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.4%

Home or Away (12)

88.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.8%

Draw No Bet - Away92.3%

Home or Away (12)88.1%

Away Win81.3%

Both Halves Over 0.572.7%

Goal in Both Halves72.7%

Home or Draw (1X)18.3%

Draw11.5%

Exactly 1 Goal8.1%

Draw No Bet - Home7.7%

Home Win6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals89.4%

Under 5.5 Goals80.9%

Over 2.5 Goals73.8%

Under 4.5 Goals65.8%

2-4 Goals55.2%

Over 3.5 Goals53.7%

4+ Goals53.7%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals46.3%

1-3 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.7%

Over 4.5 Goals34.2%

Under 2.5 Goals26.2%

1-2 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 5.5 Goals19.1%

Exactly 2 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score55.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.2%

Away Clean Sheet44.2%

Away Win to Nil42.1%

Home Clean Sheet4.7%

Home Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.580.5%

Away Over 2.558.6%

Away 3+ Goals58.6%

Home Over 0.555.4%

Home Exactly 044.2%

Home Exactly 135.9%

Away Exactly 222.0%

Home Over 1.519.5%

Home Exactly 214.6%

Away Exactly 114.3%

Home Over 2.54.9%

Home 3+ Goals4.9%

Away Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)81.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home75.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away63.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home57.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)42.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away42.2%

Away to win by 3+42.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home36.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away24.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.8%

Away to win by 220.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home18.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)6.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.9%

Home to win by 14.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.5%

Home to win by 21.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%

Home to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.565.2%

BTTS & Over 2.547.6%

Away & No BTTS42.1%

Away & BTTS39.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.526.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.6%

Away & Under 2.516.1%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Draw & Under 2.57.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Home & Over 2.54.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

Home & BTTS4.1%

Home & No BTTS2.6%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.5%

HT Away Win62.8%

HT/FT Away/Away59.6%

HT Over 1.552.0%

HT Under 1.548.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw27.5%

HT Both Teams Score22.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.7%

HT Under 0.517.5%

HT Home Win9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Home/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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