England · League Cup

Tranmere vs Rochdale

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 1

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

40% confidence

Tranmere 40.0% Draw 30.0% Rochdale 30.0%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High xG values

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

75%

Home or Draw (1X)

Tranmere home advantage

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Tranmere and Rochdale have no recent form data, but expected goals suggest a closely contested match. Tranmere's home advantage could be a factor, but Rochdale's recent promotion may boost their confidence. With high xG values for both teams, goals are expected. Key players like Connor Jennings for Tranmere could impact the match. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high expected goals rate.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 74.9% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High xG values

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

74.9%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Tranmere

No recent results stored yet

Rochdale

No recent results stored yet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Tranmere win40.0%

Draw30.0%

Rochdale win30.0%

Over 1.5 goals74.9%

Over 2.5 goals48.1%

Over 3.5 goals26.4%

Both teams to score54.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.7%

Home or Draw (1X)67.4%

Draw or Away (X2)58.9%

Draw No Bet - Home55.8%

Both Halves Over 0.552.5%

Goal in Both Halves52.5%

Draw No Bet - Away44.2%

Home Win41.1%

Away Win32.6%

Draw26.2%

Exactly 1 Goal19.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.1%

Over 0.5 Goals92.6%

Under 4.5 Goals87.7%

Under 3.5 Goals73.6%

Over 1.5 Goals73.3%

1-3 Goals66.1%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 2.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.2%

2-3 Goals46.9%

1-2 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 1.5 Goals26.7%

Over 3.5 Goals26.4%

4+ Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.3%

Under 0.5 Goals7.4%

Exactly 0 Goals7.4%

Over 5.5 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score75.1%

Away Team to Score70.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.3%

Home Clean Sheet29.8%

Away Clean Sheet24.9%

Home Win to Nil22.4%

Away Win to Nil17.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.575.1%

Away Over 0.570.2%

Home Over 1.540.5%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Home Exactly 134.6%

Away Over 1.534.1%

Away Exactly 029.8%

Home Exactly 024.9%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 221.8%

Home Over 2.516.5%

Home 3+ Goals16.5%

Away Over 2.512.3%

Away 3+ Goals12.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.0%

Away to win by 119.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 29.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.1%

Home to win by 3+7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.540.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.3%

Home & Over 2.523.6%

Home & No BTTS22.4%

Draw & Under 2.519.9%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & BTTS18.7%

Away & Over 2.518.2%

Home & Under 2.517.5%

Away & No BTTS17.4%

Away & BTTS15.2%

Away & Under 2.514.4%

BTTS & Under 2.512.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.0%

HT Under 1.567.3%

2nd Half More Goals43.0%

HT Draw42.5%

HT Over 1.532.7%

HT Home Win31.4%

HT Under 0.531.0%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Away Win26.1%

Equal Goals Each Half26.1%

HT/FT Home/Home24.3%

HT Both Teams Score19.5%

HT/FT Away/Away18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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