UEFA Europa Conference League
Tre Fiori vs Drita
📊 Our Prediction
Away +4.5 (Handicap)
68% confidence
Over 2.5 - 60%
BTTS - 53%
✓ Pick was correct (1:4)
🎯 Best Pick
Draw or Away (X2)
AI verdict (fallback)
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
📈 Probability Breakdown
Tre Fiori win11.8%
Draw20.5%
Drita win67.7%
Over 1.5 goals82.8%
Over 2.5 goals60.1%
Over 3.5 goals37.8%
Both teams to score52.8%
🎯 Full Market Board
Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.
Under 5.5 Goals
90.5%
Away Team to Score
89.4%
Away Over 0.5
89.4%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)87.0%
Draw No Bet - Away84.2%
Home or Away (12)81.7%
Away Win68.7%
Both Halves Over 0.561.7%
Goal in Both Halves61.7%
Home or Draw (1X)31.2%
Draw18.3%
Draw No Bet - Home15.8%
Exactly 1 Goal13.9%
Home Win12.9%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.5%
Under 5.5 Goals90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals81.6%
Under 4.5 Goals79.7%
Under 3.5 Goals62.3%
2-4 Goals61.3%
Over 2.5 Goals60.1%
1-3 Goals57.8%
Total Goals Even50.1%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
2-3 Goals43.9%
Under 2.5 Goals39.9%
3-4 Goals39.8%
Over 3.5 Goals37.7%
4+ Goals37.7%
1-2 Goals35.4%
Exactly 3 Goals22.4%
Exactly 2 Goals21.6%
Over 4.5 Goals20.3%
Under 1.5 Goals18.4%
Over 5.5 Goals9.5%
Under 0.5 Goals4.5%
Exactly 0 Goals4.5%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score89.4%
Home Team to Score57.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)51.6%
No Both Teams Score (NG)48.4%
Away Clean Sheet42.2%
Away Win to Nil37.8%
Home Clean Sheet10.5%
Home Win to Nil6.1%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.589.4%
Away Over 1.565.7%
Home Over 0.557.7%
Home Exactly 042.2%
Away Over 2.539.0%
Away 3+ Goals39.0%
Home Exactly 136.4%
Away Exactly 226.7%
Away Exactly 123.7%
Home Over 1.521.4%
Home Exactly 215.7%
Away Exactly 010.5%
Home Over 2.55.7%
Home 3+ Goals5.7%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.0%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.6%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.6%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.0%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)75.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home75.2%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)68.7%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)54.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home54.6%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)45.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away45.3%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)31.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home31.2%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)24.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away24.7%
Away to win by 3+24.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.4%
Away to win by 123.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.6%
Away to win by 220.6%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.4%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.9%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.0%
Home to win by 19.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.9%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.4%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.0%
Home to win by 23.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.9%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%
Home to win by 3+0.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Combos (15)
Away & Over 2.547.4%
BTTS & Over 2.543.0%
Away & No BTTS37.8%
No BTTS & Under 2.531.2%
Away & BTTS31.0%
Away & Under 2.521.3%
No BTTS & Over 2.517.1%
Draw & BTTS13.8%
Draw & Under 2.513.1%
BTTS & Under 2.58.6%
Home & Over 2.57.4%
Home & BTTS6.8%
Home & No BTTS6.1%
Home & Under 2.55.5%
Draw & Over 2.55.2%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.575.4%
HT Under 1.559.2%
HT Away Win50.7%
HT/FT Away/Away46.0%
2nd Half More Goals45.0%
HT Over 1.540.8%
HT Draw35.3%
1st Half More Goals31.5%
HT Under 0.524.6%
Equal Goals Each Half23.5%
HT Both Teams Score20.5%
HT/FT Draw/Away19.6%
HT Home Win14.0%
HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%
HT/FT Home/Home7.0%
HT/FT Draw/Home5.0%
HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%
HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%
HT/FT Home/Away3.2%
HT/FT Away/Home0.9%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
Tre Fiori
Drita