Spain · Copa del Rey

Trival Valderas vs Leganes

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Trival Valderas 51.0% Draw 25.3% Leganes 23.7%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.3%

Exact-score model probability

Trival Valderas

No recent results stored yet

Leganes

W W L W D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Trival Valderas win51.0%

Draw25.3%

Leganes win23.7%

Over 1.5 goals82.9%

Over 2.5 goals60.0%

Over 3.5 goals37.6%

Both teams to score61.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.4%

Home or Draw (1X)74.9%

Draw No Bet - Home67.6%

Both Halves Over 0.561.6%

Goal in Both Halves61.6%

Home Win52.3%

Draw or Away (X2)47.6%

Draw No Bet - Away32.4%

Away Win25.1%

Draw22.6%

Exactly 1 Goal13.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.5%

Under 5.5 Goals90.5%

Over 1.5 Goals81.6%

Under 4.5 Goals79.8%

Under 3.5 Goals62.4%

2-4 Goals61.3%

Over 2.5 Goals60.0%

1-3 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.0%

Under 2.5 Goals40.0%

3-4 Goals39.7%

Over 3.5 Goals37.6%

4+ Goals37.6%

1-2 Goals35.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.6%

Over 4.5 Goals20.2%

Under 1.5 Goals18.4%

Over 5.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.5%

Exactly 0 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.6%

Away Team to Score70.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.1%

Home Clean Sheet29.2%

Home Win to Nil24.7%

Away Clean Sheet15.4%

Away Win to Nil10.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.6%

Away Over 0.570.8%

Home Over 1.555.8%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.534.9%

Away Exactly 029.2%

Home Over 2.528.9%

Home 3+ Goals28.9%

Home Exactly 128.8%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 015.4%

Away Over 2.512.8%

Away 3+ Goals12.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.6%

Home to win by 122.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 114.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.8%

Home to win by 3+13.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.6%

Home & Over 2.536.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.7%

Home & BTTS27.7%

Home & No BTTS24.7%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Home & Under 2.516.3%

Away & Over 2.516.1%

Draw & Under 2.514.8%

Away & BTTS14.2%

Away & No BTTS10.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Away & Under 2.58.9%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.3%

HT Under 1.559.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.9%

HT Over 1.540.7%

HT Home Win39.8%

HT Draw37.7%

HT/FT Home/Home32.9%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.524.7%

HT Both Teams Score24.2%

Equal Goals Each Half23.5%

HT Away Win22.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT/FT Away/Away14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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