Netherlands · Eredivisie

Twente vs ADO Den Haag

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Twente 81.7% Draw 12.7% ADO Den Haag 5.2%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Twente: 11 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Twente

W D W L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

ADO Den Haag

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 6:15 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Twente win81.7%

Draw12.7%

ADO Den Haag win5.2%

Over 1.5 goals87.7%

Over 2.5 goals90.2%

Over 3.5 goals48.0%

Both teams to score59.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.2%

Home or Away (12)

90.7%

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.9%

Home or Draw (1X)93.2%

Home or Away (12)90.7%

Home Win87.9%

Both Halves Over 0.586.5%

Goal in Both Halves86.5%

Draw or Away (X2)8.0%

Draw5.2%

Draw No Bet - Away3.1%

Away Win2.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals86.5%

Over 3.5 Goals74.7%

4+ Goals74.7%

Over 4.5 Goals58.7%

Under 5.5 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 5.5 Goals41.4%

Under 4.5 Goals41.3%

2-4 Goals34.4%

3-4 Goals27.8%

Under 3.5 Goals25.3%

1-3 Goals20.8%

2-3 Goals18.4%

Under 2.5 Goals13.5%

Exactly 3 Goals11.8%

1-2 Goals9.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Exactly 2 Goals6.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score57.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.6%

Home Clean Sheet38.9%

Home Win to Nil38.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.557.1%

Away Exactly 038.9%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Away Over 1.522.0%

Away Exactly 215.9%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 2.56.1%

Away 3+ Goals6.1%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)80.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home77.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away66.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home62.9%

Home to win by 3+62.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)50.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away50.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)45.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home45.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away33.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home29.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away18.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home15.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 214.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.1%

Home to win by 110.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away8.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 12.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.4%

BTTS & Over 2.554.6%

Home & BTTS49.5%

Home & No BTTS38.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Home & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & BTTS4.8%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

Away & Over 2.52.2%

Away & BTTS2.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.7%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.2%

HT Home Win76.0%

HT/FT Home/Home74.1%

HT Over 1.569.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.2%

HT Both Teams Score29.0%

HT Draw17.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT Under 0.58.8%

HT Away Win6.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Away/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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