Netherlands · Eredivisie

Twente vs PEC Zwolle

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

Twente 72.3% Draw 17.9% PEC Zwolle 9.7%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Twente: 5 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Twente

D L W D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 13:13 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2.17

PEC Zwolle

L L L W L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:15 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

Twente 1wins ·3 draws ·PEC Zwolle 1wins

Twente 1-1 PEC ZwolleJan 10, 2026

Twente 0-1 PEC ZwolleAug 10, 2025

Twente 1-1 PEC ZwolleApr 13, 2025

Twente 1-1 PEC ZwolleSep 14, 2024

Twente 2-1 PEC ZwolleMay 19, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Twente win72.3%

Draw17.9%

PEC Zwolle win9.7%

Over 1.5 goals85.2%

Over 2.5 goals91.8%

Over 3.5 goals42.3%

Both teams to score68.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)90.9%

Draw No Bet - Home90.5%

Home or Away (12)87.9%

Home Win79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.579.5%

Goal in Both Halves79.5%

Draw or Away (X2)19.6%

Draw11.3%

Draw No Bet - Away9.5%

Away Win8.3%

Exactly 1 Goal5.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.8%

Under 5.5 Goals71.2%

Over 3.5 Goals64.9%

4+ Goals64.9%

Under 4.5 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

2-4 Goals47.2%

Over 4.5 Goals45.9%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 3.5 Goals35.1%

1-3 Goals33.2%

Over 5.5 Goals28.8%

2-3 Goals28.2%

Under 2.5 Goals18.2%

Exactly 3 Goals16.9%

1-2 Goals16.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score66.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.9%

Home Clean Sheet32.9%

Home Win to Nil31.8%

Away Clean Sheet3.4%

Away Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.584.4%

Away Over 0.566.3%

Home Over 2.565.1%

Home 3+ Goals65.1%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 032.9%

Away Over 1.530.0%

Away Exactly 220.0%

Home Exactly 219.4%

Home Exactly 111.4%

Away Over 2.510.0%

Away 3+ Goals10.0%

Home Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)79.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.3%

Home to win by 3+43.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away36.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)26.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home26.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 219.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 117.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 15.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 22.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.4%

BTTS & Over 2.559.9%

Home & BTTS47.8%

Home & No BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.2%

Home & Under 2.510.2%

Draw & BTTS10.2%

Away & Over 2.56.4%

Away & BTTS6.1%

Draw & Over 2.56.0%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & No BTTS2.2%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.8%

HT Home Win62.8%

HT Over 1.560.0%

HT/FT Home/Home59.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Under 1.540.0%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score30.6%

HT Draw25.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT Under 0.513.2%

HT Away Win11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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