Netherlands · Eredivisie

Twente vs PSV Eindhoven

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Twente 28.4% Draw 23.6% PSV Eindhoven 47.9%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to PSV Eindhoven: 13 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Twente

W W D W L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.83

PSV Eindhoven

W D W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 21:6 Scored/game 3.5 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Twente 0wins ·0 draws ·PSV Eindhoven 5wins

Twente 1-5 PSV EindhovenMay 17, 2026

Twente 0-2 PSV EindhovenAug 17, 2025

Twente 1-3 PSV EindhovenApr 24, 2025

Twente 1-6 PSV EindhovenDec 6, 2024

Twente 0-1 PSV EindhovenMar 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Twente win28.4%

Draw23.6%

PSV Eindhoven win47.9%

Over 1.5 goals88.5%

Over 2.5 goals91.5%

Over 3.5 goals48.3%

Both teams to score87.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.5%

Home Team to Score

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.4%

Goal in Both Halves83.4%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Draw or Away (X2)65.5%

Draw No Bet - Away58.0%

Home or Draw (1X)52.5%

Away Win47.3%

Draw No Bet - Home42.0%

Home Win34.3%

Draw18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.6%

Over 2.5 Goals87.0%

Over 3.5 Goals72.7%

4+ Goals72.7%

Under 5.5 Goals62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals45.0%

2-4 Goals40.6%

Over 5.5 Goals37.5%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Under 3.5 Goals27.3%

1-3 Goals26.4%

2-3 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals14.3%

Under 2.5 Goals13.0%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.4%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.8%

Home Team to Score89.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.6%

Away Clean Sheet10.1%

Away Win to Nil9.4%

Home Clean Sheet6.9%

Home Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.8%

Home Over 0.589.7%

Away Over 1.574.3%

Home Over 1.566.5%

Away Over 2.549.7%

Away 3+ Goals49.7%

Home Over 2.540.1%

Home 3+ Goals40.1%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Exactly 118.5%

Home Exactly 010.1%

Away Exactly 06.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)70.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home70.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)47.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away29.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 117.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.2%

Away to win by 3+16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.5%

Away to win by 213.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.0%

Home to win by 210.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.3%

Home to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.2%

Away & Over 2.542.9%

Away & BTTS37.9%

Home & Over 2.530.8%

Home & BTTS28.1%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Away & No BTTS9.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%

Home & No BTTS6.2%

Draw & Under 2.55.0%

Away & Under 2.54.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Over 1.565.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score45.0%

HT Away Win39.9%

HT Under 1.534.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win31.4%

HT/FT Away/Away30.7%

HT Draw28.7%

HT/FT Home/Home21.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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