Netherlands · Eredivisie

Twente vs Telstar

Kick-off 17:45 · Wed, Sep 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Twente 64.7% Draw 21.3% Telstar 14.0%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Telstar: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Twente

D W L W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:9 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

Telstar

D L L W W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 2

Twente 0wins ·2 draws ·Telstar 0wins

Twente 1-1 TelstarFeb 15, 2026

Twente 0-0 TelstarNov 7, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Twente win64.7%

Draw21.3%

Telstar win14.0%

Over 1.5 goals82.7%

Over 2.5 goals95.7%

Over 3.5 goals37.9%

Both teams to score86.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.2%

HT Over 0.5

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.6%

Home or Draw (1X)83.7%

Draw No Bet - Home81.3%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Home Win68.8%

Draw or Away (X2)30.7%

Draw No Bet - Away18.7%

Away Win15.8%

Draw14.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals83.4%

Under 5.5 Goals68.9%

Over 3.5 Goals67.1%

4+ Goals67.1%

Under 4.5 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals48.4%

2-4 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals32.9%

1-3 Goals31.4%

Over 5.5 Goals31.1%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.6%

Exactly 3 Goals16.3%

1-2 Goals15.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score77.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.0%

Home Clean Sheet22.0%

Home Win to Nil21.0%

Away Clean Sheet4.5%

Away Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Home Over 1.581.1%

Away Over 0.577.5%

Home Over 2.559.4%

Home 3+ Goals59.4%

Away Over 1.544.3%

Away Exactly 133.2%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Away Exactly 022.0%

Home Exactly 221.6%

Away Over 2.519.2%

Away 3+ Goals19.2%

Home Exactly 114.0%

Home Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.8%

Home to win by 3+31.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 19.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.3%

Away to win by 24.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.3%

Away to win by 3+2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.4%

Home & Over 2.560.9%

Home & BTTS47.8%

Home & No BTTS21.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.0%

Draw & BTTS13.9%

Away & Over 2.513.2%

Away & BTTS12.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

Home & Under 2.57.9%

Draw & Under 2.55.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & No BTTS3.5%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.4%

HT Over 1.561.4%

HT Home Win54.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT/FT Home/Home48.3%

HT Under 1.538.6%

HT Both Teams Score37.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw27.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT Away Win18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT Under 0.512.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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