Netherlands · Eredivisie

Twente vs Utrecht

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Twente 56.8% Draw 24.3% Utrecht 18.8%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Twente: 14 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Twente

D W W W D W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Utrecht

W L W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 10:19 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 3.17

Head to head · last 5

Twente 1wins ·1 draws ·Utrecht 3wins

Twente 0-2 UtrechtMar 15, 2026

Twente 1-1 UtrechtDec 7, 2025

Twente 2-0 UtrechtMay 11, 2025

Twente 1-2 UtrechtSep 1, 2024

Twente 0-1 UtrechtFeb 18, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Twente win56.8%

Draw24.3%

Utrecht win18.8%

Over 1.5 goals81.8%

Over 2.5 goals92.5%

Over 3.5 goals35.9%

Both teams to score72.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

88.6%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.2%

Draw No Bet - Home87.0%

Home or Away (12)86.3%

Both Halves Over 0.579.2%

Goal in Both Halves79.2%

Home Win75.1%

Draw or Away (X2)24.3%

Draw13.1%

Draw No Bet - Away13.0%

Away Win11.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.7%

Under 5.5 Goals71.4%

Over 3.5 Goals64.6%

4+ Goals64.6%

Under 4.5 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

2-4 Goals47.5%

Over 4.5 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Under 3.5 Goals35.4%

1-3 Goals33.6%

Over 5.5 Goals28.6%

2-3 Goals28.5%

Under 2.5 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals17.1%

1-2 Goals16.6%

Exactly 2 Goals11.4%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score71.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.9%

Home Clean Sheet28.5%

Home Win to Nil27.3%

Away Clean Sheet4.0%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.582.5%

Away Over 0.571.0%

Home Over 2.561.8%

Home 3+ Goals61.8%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Away Over 1.535.4%

Away Exactly 028.5%

Away Exactly 222.3%

Home Exactly 220.7%

Away Over 2.513.1%

Away 3+ Goals13.1%

Home Exactly 112.9%

Home Exactly 04.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)75.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)42.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away42.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.8%

Home to win by 3+37.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 118.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 17.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 22.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.565.5%

BTTS & Over 2.563.5%

Home & BTTS47.8%

Home & No BTTS27.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

Draw & BTTS12.0%

Home & Under 2.59.6%

Away & Over 2.58.9%

Away & BTTS8.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.6%

HT Over 1.559.7%

HT Home Win58.9%

HT/FT Home/Home54.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Under 1.540.3%

HT Both Teams Score32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw26.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.9%

HT Away Win14.4%

HT Under 0.513.4%

HT/FT Away/Away6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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