Italy · Serie A

Udinese vs AC Milan

Full time · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Udinese 24.7% Draw 25.5% AC Milan 49.8%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 59%

✓ Pick was correct (0:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

75%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to AC Milan: 3 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Udinese

L L L L L W

Form 1-0-5 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33

AC Milan

W D W D D W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Udinese 1wins ·0 draws ·AC Milan 4wins

Udinese 3-0 AC MilanApr 11, 2026

Udinese 0-3 AC MilanSep 20, 2025

Udinese 0-4 AC MilanApr 11, 2025

Udinese 0-1 AC MilanOct 19, 2024

Udinese 2-3 AC MilanJan 20, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Udinese win24.7%

Draw25.5%

AC Milan win49.8%

Over 1.5 goals73.5%

Over 2.5 goals70.1%

Over 3.5 goals26.5%

Both teams to score59.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.4%

Away Over 0.5

90.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)85.6%

Draw No Bet - Away82.5%

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Away Win67.6%

Both Halves Over 0.565.5%

Goal in Both Halves65.5%

Home or Draw (1X)32.3%

Draw18.0%

Draw No Bet - Home17.5%

Home Win14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.8%

Over 1.5 Goals84.6%

Under 4.5 Goals75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.1%

1-3 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.9%

4+ Goals42.9%

2-3 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.1%

1-2 Goals31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.4%

Home Team to Score62.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.1%

Away Clean Sheet37.0%

Away Win to Nil33.5%

Home Clean Sheet9.5%

Home Win to Nil6.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.4%

Away Over 1.568.1%

Home Over 0.562.9%

Away Over 2.541.8%

Away 3+ Goals41.8%

Home Exactly 037.0%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Home Over 1.526.1%

Away Exactly 122.3%

Home Exactly 218.3%

Away Exactly 09.5%

Home Over 2.57.9%

Home 3+ Goals7.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)67.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home54.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)45.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away45.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.1%

Away to win by 3+25.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.6%

Away to win by 122.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 220.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 19.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.5%

Home to win by 23.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.3%

Home to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.549.6%

BTTS & Over 2.548.7%

Away & BTTS34.1%

Away & No BTTS33.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.8%

Away & Under 2.518.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

Draw & Under 2.511.7%

Home & Over 2.59.1%

Home & BTTS8.4%

BTTS & Under 2.58.2%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Home & No BTTS6.0%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Under 1.555.6%

HT Away Win50.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT/FT Away/Away45.4%

HT Over 1.544.4%

HT Draw34.0%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score23.5%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.7%

HT Home Win15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.9%

HT/FT Home/Home7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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