Italy · Serie A

Udinese vs AS Roma

Full time · 2:5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Udinese 17.0% Draw 23.4% AS Roma 59.5%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 54%

✓ Pick was correct (2:5)

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

75%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to AS Roma: 1 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

Udinese

D L L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

AS Roma

W D W W L D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 16:9 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Udinese 1wins ·0 draws ·AS Roma 4wins

Udinese 1-0 AS RomaFeb 2, 2026

Udinese 0-2 AS RomaNov 9, 2025

Udinese 1-2 AS RomaJan 26, 2025

Udinese 0-3 AS RomaSep 22, 2024

Udinese 1-2 AS RomaApr 25, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Udinese win17.0%

Draw23.4%

AS Roma win59.5%

Over 1.5 goals72.5%

Over 2.5 goals74.7%

Over 3.5 goals25.4%

Both teams to score53.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

91.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.8%

Draw No Bet - Away90.8%

Home or Away (12)86.1%

Away Win78.2%

Both Halves Over 0.567.4%

Goal in Both Halves67.4%

Home or Draw (1X)21.6%

Draw13.7%

Exactly 1 Goal10.8%

Draw No Bet - Home9.2%

Home Win8.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals86.3%

Over 1.5 Goals85.9%

Under 4.5 Goals73.2%

Over 2.5 Goals67.2%

2-4 Goals59.2%

Under 3.5 Goals54.4%

1-3 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals45.6%

4+ Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals32.8%

1-2 Goals29.5%

Over 4.5 Goals26.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.7%

Exactly 2 Goals18.7%

Under 1.5 Goals14.1%

Over 5.5 Goals13.7%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.2%

Home Team to Score53.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.7%

Away Clean Sheet46.6%

Away Win to Nil43.5%

Home Clean Sheet6.6%

Home Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.2%

Away Over 1.575.2%

Home Over 0.553.2%

Away Over 2.550.7%

Away 3+ Goals50.7%

Home Exactly 046.6%

Home Exactly 135.5%

Away Exactly 224.4%

Away Exactly 118.0%

Home Over 1.517.7%

Home Exactly 213.5%

Away Exactly 06.6%

Home Over 2.54.2%

Home 3+ Goals4.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home80.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)78.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)63.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home63.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away57.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home42.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away35.9%

Away to win by 3+35.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.6%

Away to win by 221.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.7%

Away to win by 120.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 15.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.7%

Home to win by 21.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home to win by 3+0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.558.4%

Away & No BTTS43.5%

BTTS & Over 2.543.3%

Away & BTTS34.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.0%

Away & Under 2.519.8%

Draw & BTTS10.6%

Draw & Under 2.59.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.4%

Home & Over 2.54.7%

Home & BTTS4.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Home & No BTTS3.5%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.1%

HT Away Win59.0%

HT/FT Away/Away55.4%

HT Under 1.553.7%

HT Over 1.546.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.9%

HT Both Teams Score20.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.7%

HT Home Win10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Home/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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