Italy · Serie A

Udinese vs Como

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Udinese 22.3% Draw 26.4% Como 51.2%

Over 2.5 - 25% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 20.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Como: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

20.6%

Exact-score model probability

Udinese

L L W W D L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Como

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 4

Udinese 1wins ·1 draws ·Como 2wins

Udinese 0-0 ComoApr 6, 2026

Udinese 0-1 ComoJan 3, 2026

Udinese 1-4 ComoJan 20, 2025

Udinese 1-0 ComoSep 1, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Udinese win22.3%

Draw26.4%

Como win51.2%

Over 1.5 goals70.1%

Over 2.5 goals24.7%

Over 3.5 goals22.8%

Both teams to score32.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

90.3%

Over 0.5 Goals

82.2%

Draw or Away (X2)

81.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)81.8%

Draw No Bet - Away73.4%

Home or Away (12)68.4%

Away Win50.3%

Home or Draw (1X)49.7%

Both Halves Over 0.533.2%

Goal in Both Halves33.2%

Draw31.6%

Exactly 1 Goal30.7%

Draw No Bet - Home26.6%

Home Win18.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.1%

Under 4.5 Goals96.9%

Under 3.5 Goals90.3%

Over 0.5 Goals82.2%

Under 2.5 Goals75.0%

1-3 Goals72.5%

1-2 Goals57.2%

Total Goals Even51.6%

Over 1.5 Goals51.5%

Under 1.5 Goals48.5%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

2-4 Goals48.4%

2-3 Goals41.8%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Over 2.5 Goals25.0%

3-4 Goals21.9%

Under 0.5 Goals17.8%

Exactly 0 Goals17.8%

Exactly 3 Goals15.3%

Over 3.5 Goals9.7%

4+ Goals9.7%

Over 4.5 Goals3.1%

Over 5.5 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)70.2%

Away Team to Score68.6%

Away Clean Sheet56.6%

Home Team to Score43.4%

Away Win to Nil38.8%

Home Clean Sheet31.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)29.8%

Home Win to Nil13.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.568.6%

Home Exactly 056.6%

Home Over 0.543.4%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 1.532.2%

Home Exactly 132.2%

Away Exactly 031.4%

Away Exactly 221.1%

Home Over 1.511.2%

Away Over 2.511.2%

Away 3+ Goals11.2%

Home Exactly 29.2%

Home Over 2.52.0%

Home 3+ Goals2.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)50.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home49.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw28.1%

Away to win by 128.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 214.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 113.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.3%

Away to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.6%

Home to win by 23.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.7%

Home to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.563.3%

Away & No BTTS38.8%

Away & Under 2.532.5%

Draw & Under 2.529.5%

BTTS & Over 2.518.1%

Away & Over 2.517.8%

Draw & BTTS13.8%

Home & No BTTS13.6%

Home & Under 2.513.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

Away & BTTS11.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.9%

Home & Over 2.55.2%

Home & BTTS4.5%

Draw & Over 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.581.7%

HT Over 0.554.0%

HT Draw52.3%

HT Under 0.546.0%

2nd Half More Goals38.0%

Equal Goals Each Half33.5%

HT Away Win33.4%

HT/FT Away/Away29.2%

1st Half More Goals28.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw24.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.7%

HT Over 1.518.3%

HT Home Win14.3%

HT/FT Home/Home9.4%

HT Both Teams Score9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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