Italy · Serie A

Udinese vs Lazio

Kick-off 19:45 · Mon, Sep 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Udinese 33.5% Draw 29.1% Lazio 37.4%

Over 2.5 - 30% BTTS - 38%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lazio: 10 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Udinese 2 wins, 3 draws, Lazio 0 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13%

Exact-score model probability

Udinese

W D L L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Lazio

W W W L L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Udinese 2wins ·3 draws ·Lazio 0wins

Udinese 3-3 LazioApr 27, 2026

Udinese 1-1 LazioDec 27, 2025

Udinese 1-1 LazioMar 10, 2025

Udinese 2-1 LazioAug 24, 2024

Udinese 2-1 LazioMar 11, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Udinese win33.5%

Draw29.1%

Lazio win37.4%

Over 1.5 goals65.1%

Over 2.5 goals29.5%

Over 3.5 goals18.4%

Both teams to score38.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.1%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.2%

Home or Draw (1X)70.3%

Draw No Bet - Home58.8%

Draw or Away (X2)57.5%

Both Halves Over 0.547.2%

Goal in Both Halves47.2%

Home Win42.5%

Draw No Bet - Away41.2%

Away Win29.7%

Draw27.8%

Exactly 1 Goal22.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.8%

Under 4.5 Goals91.1%

Over 0.5 Goals90.4%

Under 3.5 Goals79.1%

1-3 Goals69.5%

Over 1.5 Goals67.8%

2-4 Goals59.0%

Under 2.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals48.9%

2-3 Goals46.9%

Over 2.5 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals32.6%

Under 1.5 Goals32.2%

Exactly 2 Goals26.4%

Over 3.5 Goals20.9%

4+ Goals20.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.6%

Under 0.5 Goals9.6%

Exactly 0 Goals9.6%

Over 4.5 Goals8.9%

Over 5.5 Goals3.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score72.8%

Away Team to Score64.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.1%

Home Clean Sheet35.3%

Away Clean Sheet27.2%

Home Win to Nil25.7%

Away Win to Nil17.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.572.8%

Away Over 0.564.7%

Home Over 1.537.4%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 035.3%

Away Over 1.527.9%

Home Exactly 027.2%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Home Over 2.514.3%

Home 3+ Goals14.3%

Away Over 2.58.8%

Away 3+ Goals8.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 212.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.9%

Home to win by 3+6.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.5%

BTTS & Over 2.534.0%

Home & No BTTS25.7%

Draw & Under 2.522.6%

Home & Over 2.521.8%

Home & Under 2.520.7%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Away & No BTTS17.6%

Home & BTTS16.8%

Away & Under 2.515.2%

Away & Over 2.514.5%

BTTS & Under 2.513.0%

Away & BTTS12.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.571.6%

HT Over 0.565.1%

HT Draw45.1%

2nd Half More Goals41.8%

HT Under 0.534.9%

HT Home Win31.3%

1st Half More Goals30.4%

HT Over 1.528.4%

Equal Goals Each Half27.8%

HT/FT Home/Home25.0%

HT Away Win23.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.1%

HT/FT Away/Away16.7%

HT Both Teams Score16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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