South-Korea · K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul

Kick-off 11:30 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Ulsan Hyundai FC 5.6% Draw 8.1% FC Seoul 86.3%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Seoul: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Ulsan Hyundai FC

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Seoul

W W W D D L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 17:7 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Ulsan Hyundai FC 1wins ·0 draws ·FC Seoul 0wins

Ulsan Hyundai FC 3-1 FC SeoulJul 26, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ulsan Hyundai FC win5.6%

Draw8.1%

FC Seoul win86.3%

Over 1.5 goals98.2%

Over 2.5 goals92.8%

Over 3.5 goals82.8%

Both teams to score73.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

90.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away93.7%

Draw or Away (X2)90.4%

Both Halves Over 0.589.1%

Goal in Both Halves89.1%

Home or Away (12)88.6%

Away Win83.0%

Home or Draw (1X)12.9%

Draw7.3%

Draw No Bet - Home6.3%

Home Win5.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.0%

Over 2.5 Goals89.1%

Over 3.5 Goals79.4%

4+ Goals79.4%

Over 4.5 Goals65.4%

Under 5.5 Goals51.1%

Over 5.5 Goals48.9%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals34.6%

2-4 Goals28.6%

3-4 Goals23.7%

Under 3.5 Goals20.6%

1-3 Goals16.3%

2-3 Goals14.6%

Under 2.5 Goals10.9%

Exactly 3 Goals9.6%

1-2 Goals6.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.0%

Exactly 2 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score71.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.8%

Away Clean Sheet25.0%

Away Win to Nil24.7%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Over 0.571.0%

Home Over 1.537.4%

Home Exactly 133.6%

Home Exactly 025.0%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Home Over 2.514.7%

Home 3+ Goals14.7%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)83.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home72.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)71.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away71.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home57.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)55.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away55.4%

Away to win by 3+55.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home40.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)38.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away38.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)24.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home24.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away23.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home12.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.0%

Away to win by 112.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw11.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw3.6%

Home to win by 13.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.4%

Home to win by 21.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.6%

Home to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.578.8%

BTTS & Over 2.568.4%

Away & BTTS58.3%

Away & No BTTS24.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.6%

Draw & BTTS7.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Home & Over 2.54.9%

Home & BTTS4.8%

Away & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Home & No BTTS0.8%

Home & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.8%

HT Over 1.573.8%

HT Away Win70.8%

HT/FT Away/Away67.8%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Both Teams Score39.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.2%

HT Draw19.1%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%

HT Home Win10.0%

HT Under 0.57.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

HT/FT Home/Home3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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