South-Korea · K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Ulsan Hyundai FC 40.9% Draw 28.7% Gangwon FC 30.4%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Ulsan Hyundai FC: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.1%

Exact-score model probability

Ulsan Hyundai FC

W W W L D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:9 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

Gangwon FC

L L D W D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Ulsan Hyundai FC 0wins ·0 draws ·Gangwon FC 1wins

Ulsan Hyundai FC 0-2 Gangwon FCMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ulsan Hyundai FC win40.9%

Draw28.7%

Gangwon FC win30.4%

Over 1.5 goals77.0%

Over 2.5 goals51.0%

Over 3.5 goals28.9%

Both teams to score56.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.5%

Home or Draw (1X)68.0%

Draw or Away (X2)57.5%

Draw No Bet - Home57.0%

Both Halves Over 0.554.7%

Goal in Both Halves54.7%

Draw No Bet - Away43.0%

Home Win42.5%

Away Win32.0%

Draw25.5%

Exactly 1 Goal18.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.2%

Over 0.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals86.1%

Over 1.5 Goals75.4%

Under 3.5 Goals71.1%

1-3 Goals64.4%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals49.0%

2-3 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals42.4%

3-4 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals28.9%

4+ Goals28.9%

Under 1.5 Goals24.6%

Exactly 2 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 0 Goals6.6%

Over 5.5 Goals5.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score77.1%

Away Team to Score71.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.2%

Home Clean Sheet28.8%

Away Clean Sheet22.9%

Home Win to Nil22.2%

Away Win to Nil16.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.577.1%

Away Over 0.571.2%

Home Over 1.543.3%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.535.3%

Home Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 028.8%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Home Exactly 022.9%

Away Exactly 222.3%

Home Over 2.518.4%

Home 3+ Goals18.4%

Away Over 2.513.0%

Away 3+ Goals13.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.7%

Home to win by 212.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 29.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.0%

Home to win by 3+8.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.542.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.536.9%

Home & Over 2.525.6%

Home & No BTTS22.2%

Home & BTTS20.3%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Draw & Under 2.518.7%

Away & Over 2.518.7%

Home & Under 2.516.9%

Away & No BTTS16.3%

Away & BTTS15.7%

Away & Under 2.513.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.5%

HT Under 1.565.5%

2nd Half More Goals43.5%

HT Draw41.4%

HT Over 1.534.5%

HT Home Win32.5%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.5%

HT Away Win26.0%

Equal Goals Each Half25.5%

HT/FT Home/Home25.4%

HT Both Teams Score20.8%

HT/FT Away/Away18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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