South-Korea · K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Ulsan Hyundai FC 46.1% Draw 27.5% Gimcheon Sangmu FC 26.4%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 9 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.6%

Exact-score model probability

Ulsan Hyundai FC

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

D D D W W D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

Ulsan Hyundai FC 1wins ·0 draws ·Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0wins

Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCMay 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ulsan Hyundai FC win46.1%

Draw27.5%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win26.4%

Over 1.5 goals78.6%

Over 2.5 goals53.4%

Over 3.5 goals31.1%

Both teams to score57.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.5%

Home or Draw (1X)72.1%

Draw No Bet - Home63.1%

Both Halves Over 0.556.5%

Goal in Both Halves56.5%

Draw or Away (X2)52.4%

Home Win47.6%

Draw No Bet - Away36.9%

Away Win27.9%

Draw24.5%

Exactly 1 Goal16.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.0%

Under 5.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals84.6%

Over 1.5 Goals77.1%

Under 3.5 Goals68.9%

1-3 Goals62.9%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals46.6%

2-3 Goals46.0%

1-2 Goals40.6%

3-4 Goals37.9%

Over 3.5 Goals31.1%

4+ Goals31.1%

Exactly 2 Goals23.7%

Under 1.5 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.0%

Exactly 0 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.3%

Away Team to Score69.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.2%

Home Clean Sheet30.5%

Home Win to Nil24.5%

Away Clean Sheet19.7%

Away Win to Nil13.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.3%

Away Over 0.569.5%

Home Over 1.548.4%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Away Over 1.533.3%

Home Exactly 132.0%

Away Exactly 030.5%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Over 2.522.4%

Home 3+ Goals22.4%

Away Exactly 221.5%

Home Exactly 019.7%

Away Over 2.511.8%

Away 3+ Goals11.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.7%

Home to win by 122.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 214.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.4%

Home to win by 3+10.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.7%

Away to win by 27.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.6%

Away to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.544.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.0%

Home & Over 2.529.9%

Home & No BTTS24.5%

Home & BTTS23.1%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Home & Under 2.517.7%

Draw & Under 2.517.6%

Away & Over 2.516.5%

Away & BTTS14.2%

Away & No BTTS13.7%

BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.1%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.8%

HT Under 1.563.9%

2nd Half More Goals43.9%

HT Draw40.3%

HT Over 1.536.1%

HT Home Win36.0%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT/FT Home/Home29.1%

HT Under 0.528.2%

Equal Goals Each Half24.9%

HT Away Win23.7%

HT Both Teams Score21.5%

HT/FT Away/Away15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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