South-Korea · K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United

Kick-off 08:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Ulsan Hyundai FC 39.4% Draw 19.0% Incheon United 41.6%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Ulsan Hyundai FC: 12 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

Ulsan Hyundai FC

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1

Incheon United

W D D D D W

Form 2-4-0 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Ulsan Hyundai FC 0wins ·0 draws ·Incheon United 1wins

Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-2 Incheon UnitedJul 21, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ulsan Hyundai FC win39.4%

Draw19.0%

Incheon United win41.6%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.2%

Over 3.5 goals76.3%

Both teams to score86.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.4%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.3%

Goal in Both Halves85.3%

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Draw or Away (X2)59.9%

Home or Draw (1X)57.7%

Draw No Bet - Away51.3%

Draw No Bet - Home48.7%

Away Win42.0%

Home Win39.8%

Draw17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.2%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals88.9%

Over 3.5 Goals76.1%

4+ Goals76.1%

Over 4.5 Goals59.4%

Under 5.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals41.9%

Under 4.5 Goals40.6%

2-4 Goals37.0%

3-4 Goals29.6%

Under 3.5 Goals23.9%

1-3 Goals23.1%

2-3 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals10.2%

Exactly 2 Goals7.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals0.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.6%

Home Team to Score92.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.5%

Away Clean Sheet7.6%

Home Clean Sheet7.1%

Away Win to Nil7.1%

Home Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.6%

Home Over 0.592.1%

Away Over 1.573.8%

Home Over 1.572.5%

Away Over 2.548.9%

Away 3+ Goals48.9%

Home Over 2.547.3%

Home 3+ Goals47.3%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 224.8%

Home Exactly 119.6%

Away Exactly 118.8%

Home Exactly 07.6%

Away Exactly 07.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.6%

Away to win by 3+13.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.4%

Home to win by 3+12.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 211.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.8%

Away & Over 2.538.6%

Home & Over 2.536.6%

Away & BTTS34.9%

Home & BTTS33.2%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Away & No BTTS7.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Home & No BTTS6.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Home & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.4%

HT Over 1.568.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score47.7%

HT Away Win36.7%

HT Home Win35.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.0%

HT Draw28.0%

HT/FT Away/Away26.9%

HT/FT Home/Home25.3%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.3%

HT Under 0.59.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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