Mexico · Liga MX

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Sep 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 54.6% Draw 21.1% Atletico San Luis 24.3%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 8 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

L W L D D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Atletico San Luis

L L W D L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win54.6%

Draw21.1%

Atletico San Luis win24.3%

Over 1.5 goals91.9%

Over 2.5 goals76.5%

Over 3.5 goals57.1%

Both teams to score73.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.2%

Home Team to Score

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.7%

Home or Draw (1X)74.7%

Both Halves Over 0.574.5%

Goal in Both Halves74.5%

Draw No Bet - Home68.7%

Home Win55.5%

Draw or Away (X2)44.4%

Draw No Bet - Away31.3%

Away Win25.2%

Draw19.2%

Exactly 1 Goal7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals90.9%

Under 5.5 Goals78.2%

Over 2.5 Goals76.5%

Under 4.5 Goals62.5%

Over 3.5 Goals57.0%

4+ Goals57.0%

2-4 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals43.0%

1-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals38.9%

Over 4.5 Goals37.5%

2-3 Goals33.9%

Under 2.5 Goals23.5%

Over 5.5 Goals21.8%

1-2 Goals21.7%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals14.5%

Under 1.5 Goals9.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.0%

Away Team to Score79.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.2%

Home Clean Sheet20.0%

Home Win to Nil18.2%

Away Clean Sheet8.9%

Away Win to Nil7.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.0%

Away Over 0.579.9%

Home Over 1.569.4%

Away Over 1.547.8%

Home Over 2.543.3%

Home 3+ Goals43.3%

Away Exactly 132.2%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Away Over 2.521.9%

Away 3+ Goals21.9%

Home Exactly 121.6%

Away Exactly 020.0%

Home Exactly 08.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.9%

Home to win by 3+18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 216.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.5%

Away to win by 113.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 27.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.8%

Home & Over 2.545.9%

Home & BTTS37.3%

Away & Over 2.520.0%

Home & No BTTS18.2%

Away & BTTS18.1%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.5%

Home & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.7%

Away & No BTTS7.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.7%

HT Over 1.554.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.546.0%

HT Home Win43.8%

HT/FT Home/Home36.3%

HT Both Teams Score34.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw32.0%

HT Away Win24.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT Under 0.516.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT/FT Away/Away14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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