Mexico · Liga MX

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 28.6% Draw 18.5% Club Queretaro 52.9%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Team to Score

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

W W L L D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Club Queretaro

W W L

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win28.6%

Draw18.5%

Club Queretaro win52.9%

Over 1.5 goals96.7%

Over 2.5 goals88.0%

Over 3.5 goals74.3%

Both teams to score84.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.2%

Goal in Both Halves84.2%

Home or Away (12)82.2%

Draw or Away (X2)70.6%

Draw No Bet - Away64.7%

Away Win53.2%

Home or Draw (1X)46.4%

Draw No Bet - Home35.3%

Home Win29.0%

Draw17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals87.7%

Over 3.5 Goals74.0%

4+ Goals74.0%

Under 5.5 Goals60.9%

Over 4.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals43.3%

Over 5.5 Goals39.1%

2-4 Goals39.1%

3-4 Goals31.0%

Under 3.5 Goals26.0%

1-3 Goals25.0%

2-3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 3 Goals13.7%

Under 2.5 Goals12.3%

1-2 Goals11.3%

Exactly 2 Goals8.1%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.1%

Home Team to Score88.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.6%

Away Clean Sheet11.4%

Away Win to Nil10.7%

Home Clean Sheet5.6%

Home Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.1%

Home Over 0.588.3%

Away Over 1.578.0%

Home Over 1.563.6%

Away Over 2.554.8%

Away 3+ Goals54.8%

Home Over 2.536.8%

Home 3+ Goals36.8%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 124.7%

Away Exactly 223.2%

Away Exactly 116.1%

Home Exactly 011.4%

Away Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home64.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away35.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.3%

Away to win by 3+20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.0%

Away to win by 118.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 214.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 113.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.4%

Home to win by 28.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.1%

Home to win by 3+7.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.4%

Away & Over 2.548.7%

Away & BTTS42.5%

Home & Over 2.526.2%

Home & BTTS24.1%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

Away & No BTTS10.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Home & No BTTS4.9%

Draw & Under 2.54.6%

Away & Under 2.54.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Home & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.7%

HT Over 1.566.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score45.4%

HT Away Win43.9%

HT/FT Away/Away35.4%

HT Under 1.533.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.1%

HT Home Win28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Home/Home17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.0%

HT Under 0.510.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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