Mexico · Liga MX

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul

Full time · 3:3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 27.6% Draw 20.4% Cruz Azul 52.0%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 78%

✓ Pick was correct (3:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cruz Azul: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

L W L D D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Cruz Azul

L W W W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 2

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0wins ·1 draws ·Cruz Azul 1wins

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-2 Cruz AzulMay 25, 2026

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-0 Cruz AzulMay 22, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win27.6%

Draw20.4%

Cruz Azul win52.0%

Over 1.5 goals94.0%

Over 2.5 goals81.1%

Over 3.5 goals63.5%

Both teams to score78.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.5%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.2%

Draw or Away (X2)73.4%

Draw No Bet - Away66.1%

Both Halves Over 0.565.7%

Goal in Both Halves65.7%

Away Win51.7%

Home or Draw (1X)48.3%

Draw No Bet - Home33.9%

Home Win26.5%

Draw21.7%

Exactly 1 Goal11.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals84.9%

Under 4.5 Goals75.1%

Over 2.5 Goals65.3%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 3.5 Goals56.6%

1-3 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.4%

4+ Goals43.4%

2-3 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.7%

1-2 Goals31.2%

Over 4.5 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.6%

Under 1.5 Goals15.1%

Over 5.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.3%

Home Team to Score74.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.5%

Away Clean Sheet25.2%

Away Win to Nil21.8%

Home Clean Sheet13.7%

Home Win to Nil10.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.3%

Home Over 0.574.7%

Away Over 1.559.1%

Home Over 1.540.0%

Home Exactly 134.7%

Away Over 2.532.0%

Away 3+ Goals32.0%

Away Exactly 127.2%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 025.2%

Home Exactly 223.9%

Home Over 2.516.1%

Home 3+ Goals16.1%

Away Exactly 013.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)70.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home70.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.7%

Away to win by 121.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 215.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away14.4%

Away to win by 3+14.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 27.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.0%

Home to win by 3+4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.0%

Away & Over 2.538.0%

Away & BTTS29.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.2%

Away & No BTTS21.8%

Home & Over 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Home & BTTS16.3%

Away & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & Under 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Home & No BTTS10.2%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.58.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.0%

HT Under 1.555.3%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT Over 1.544.7%

HT Away Win40.0%

HT Draw36.0%

HT/FT Away/Away32.7%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score27.3%

HT Home Win24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.5%

HT/FT Home/Home15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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