Mexico · Liga MX

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon

● LIVE 45' · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 23.3% Draw 31.7% Leon 45.0%

Over 2.5 - 37% BTTS - 44%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 14.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Leon: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.8%

Exact-score model probability

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

L D D W W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Leon

D W W W L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win23.3%

Draw31.7%

Leon win45.0%

Over 1.5 goals65.8%

Over 2.5 goals37.2%

Over 3.5 goals17.7%

Both teams to score44.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.7%

Over 0.5 Goals

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)75.0%

Home or Away (12)71.6%

Draw No Bet - Away65.1%

Home or Draw (1X)53.3%

Away Win46.7%

Both Halves Over 0.543.7%

Goal in Both Halves43.7%

Draw No Bet - Home34.9%

Draw28.4%

Home Win25.0%

Exactly 1 Goal24.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.6%

Under 4.5 Goals93.0%

Over 0.5 Goals88.7%

Under 3.5 Goals82.3%

1-3 Goals71.0%

Over 1.5 Goals64.1%

Under 2.5 Goals62.8%

2-4 Goals57.0%

1-2 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-3 Goals46.4%

Over 2.5 Goals37.2%

Under 1.5 Goals35.9%

3-4 Goals30.2%

Exactly 2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.5%

Over 3.5 Goals17.7%

4+ Goals17.7%

Under 0.5 Goals11.3%

Exactly 0 Goals11.3%

Over 4.5 Goals7.0%

Over 5.5 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score72.9%

Home Team to Score58.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)42.5%

Away Clean Sheet41.7%

Away Win to Nil30.4%

Home Clean Sheet27.1%

Home Win to Nil15.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.572.9%

Home Over 0.558.3%

Home Exactly 041.7%

Away Over 1.537.6%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 027.1%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Home Over 1.521.8%

Home Exactly 215.9%

Away Over 2.514.4%

Away 3+ Goals14.4%

Home Over 2.55.9%

Home 3+ Goals5.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.0%

Away to win by 125.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 213.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.8%

Away to win by 3+7.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.2%

Home to win by 26.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.1%

Home to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.549.9%

Away & No BTTS30.4%

BTTS & Over 2.529.6%

Away & Under 2.524.4%

Draw & Under 2.524.2%

Away & Over 2.522.2%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Away & BTTS16.2%

Home & No BTTS15.8%

Home & Under 2.514.2%

BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Home & Over 2.510.8%

Home & BTTS9.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.574.3%

HT Over 0.562.5%

HT Draw46.7%

2nd Half More Goals41.0%

HT Under 0.537.5%

HT Away Win33.3%

1st Half More Goals30.0%

Equal Goals Each Half29.1%

HT/FT Away/Away27.6%

HT Over 1.525.7%

HT Home Win20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.2%

HT Both Teams Score14.5%

HT/FT Home/Home13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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