Mexico · Liga MX

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 44.3% Draw 20.6% Necaxa 35.1%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 81%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

D W W L L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Necaxa

L L W W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win44.3%

Draw20.6%

Necaxa win35.1%

Over 1.5 goals94.9%

Over 2.5 goals83.4%

Over 3.5 goals67.0%

Both teams to score81.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.9%

Home Over 0.5

90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.7%

Both Halves Over 0.580.2%

Goal in Both Halves80.2%

Home or Draw (1X)64.1%

Draw No Bet - Home55.7%

Draw or Away (X2)54.9%

Home Win45.0%

Draw No Bet - Away44.3%

Away Win35.8%

Draw19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals83.3%

Under 5.5 Goals69.1%

Over 3.5 Goals66.9%

4+ Goals66.9%

Under 4.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals48.1%

2-4 Goals46.0%

3-4 Goals35.3%

Under 3.5 Goals33.1%

1-3 Goals31.9%

Over 5.5 Goals30.9%

2-3 Goals27.2%

Under 2.5 Goals16.7%

Exactly 3 Goals16.4%

1-2 Goals15.5%

Exactly 2 Goals10.8%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.9%

Away Team to Score88.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.6%

Home Clean Sheet11.5%

Home Win to Nil10.5%

Away Clean Sheet8.9%

Away Win to Nil7.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.9%

Away Over 0.588.3%

Home Over 1.569.4%

Away Over 1.563.5%

Home Over 2.543.3%

Home 3+ Goals43.3%

Away Over 2.536.6%

Away 3+ Goals36.6%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 124.9%

Home Exactly 121.6%

Away Exactly 011.5%

Home Exactly 08.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.0%

Away to win by 116.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.0%

Home to win by 3+14.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 213.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 210.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.3%

Away to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.1%

Home & Over 2.539.5%

Home & BTTS34.5%

Away & Over 2.531.2%

Away & BTTS27.9%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.2%

Home & No BTTS10.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

Away & No BTTS7.9%

Draw & Under 2.56.4%

Home & Under 2.55.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Away & Under 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.2%

HT Over 1.561.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.8%

HT Both Teams Score41.2%

HT Under 1.539.0%

HT Home Win37.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win31.9%

HT Draw30.2%

HT/FT Home/Home28.7%

HT/FT Away/Away22.1%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT Under 0.512.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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