Mexico · Liga MX

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 59.1% Draw 23.1% Tigres UANL 17.8%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 59%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

W D L W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Tigres UANL

L W D L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win59.1%

Draw23.1%

Tigres UANL win17.8%

Over 1.5 goals83.8%

Over 2.5 goals61.5%

Over 3.5 goals39.2%

Both teams to score59.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

92.0%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.9%

Home or Away (12)79.3%

Draw No Bet - Home76.0%

Both Halves Over 0.562.8%

Goal in Both Halves62.8%

Home Win60.3%

Draw or Away (X2)39.7%

Draw No Bet - Away24.0%

Draw20.6%

Away Win19.0%

Exactly 1 Goal13.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Under 5.5 Goals89.8%

Over 1.5 Goals82.5%

Under 4.5 Goals78.5%

Over 2.5 Goals61.5%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 3.5 Goals60.8%

1-3 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.4%

3-4 Goals40.0%

Over 3.5 Goals39.2%

4+ Goals39.2%

Under 2.5 Goals38.5%

1-2 Goals34.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals21.1%

Under 1.5 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.6%

Away Team to Score66.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.9%

Home Clean Sheet33.7%

Home Win to Nil29.5%

Away Clean Sheet12.4%

Away Win to Nil8.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.6%

Away Over 0.566.3%

Home Over 1.561.7%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Over 2.534.7%

Home 3+ Goals34.7%

Away Exactly 033.7%

Away Over 1.529.6%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.9%

Away Exactly 219.9%

Home Exactly 012.4%

Away Over 2.59.7%

Away 3+ Goals9.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.2%

Home to win by 123.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.9%

Home to win by 3+18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.6%

Home & Over 2.542.5%

Home & BTTS30.8%

Home & No BTTS29.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.0%

Home & Under 2.517.8%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Draw & Under 2.513.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.9%

Away & Over 2.512.0%

Away & BTTS10.8%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

Away & No BTTS8.2%

Draw & Over 2.57.0%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.0%

HT Under 1.558.2%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Home Win45.1%

HT Over 1.541.8%

HT/FT Home/Home39.1%

HT Draw36.3%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.0%

HT Both Teams Score23.6%

Equal Goals Each Half23.2%

HT Away Win18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.5%

HT/FT Away/Away10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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