Germany · Bundesliga

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

40% confidence

Union Berlin 32.1% Draw 28.2% SV Elversberg 39.7%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

74%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is SV Elversberg win at 39.7%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SV Elversberg: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Union Berlin win

32.1%

1X2 model probability

Draw

28.2%

1X2 model probability

SV Elversberg win

39.7%

1X2 model probability

Union Berlin

L L L D W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:18 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 3

SV Elversberg

D L W W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Union Berlin win32.1%

Draw28.2%

SV Elversberg win39.7%

Over 1.5 goals74.0%

Over 2.5 goals99.2%

Over 3.5 goals26.2%

Both teams to score97.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

92.0%

Away Over 0.5

92.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.597.3%

Goal in Both Halves97.3%

Home or Away (12)79.5%

Draw or Away (X2)56.0%

Draw No Bet - Away53.3%

Home or Draw (1X)50.7%

Draw No Bet - Home46.7%

Away Win42.4%

Home Win37.1%

Draw13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.9%

Over 2.5 Goals92.3%

Over 3.5 Goals90.6%

4+ Goals90.6%

Over 4.5 Goals86.7%

Over 5.5 Goals80.0%

Total Goals Odd46.5%

Total Goals Even46.5%

Under 5.5 Goals20.0%

Under 4.5 Goals13.3%

Under 3.5 Goals9.4%

Under 2.5 Goals7.7%

Under 1.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals6.9%

2-4 Goals6.2%

3-4 Goals5.6%

1-3 Goals2.5%

2-3 Goals2.4%

Exactly 3 Goals1.8%

1-2 Goals0.7%

Exactly 2 Goals0.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.0%

Home Team to Score91.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.4%

Away Win to Nil1.3%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.0%

Home Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 1.587.1%

Home Over 1.586.0%

Away Over 2.576.2%

Away 3+ Goals76.2%

Home Over 2.573.7%

Home 3+ Goals73.7%

Home Exactly 212.3%

Away Exactly 210.9%

Home Exactly 15.8%

Away Exactly 14.8%

Home Exactly 01.4%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away29.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.2%

Away to win by 3+18.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.8%

Home to win by 3+14.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 113.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.4%

Home to win by 112.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 211.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.0%

Home to win by 210.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.4%

Away & Over 2.542.2%

Away & BTTS41.0%

Home & Over 2.536.9%

Home & BTTS36.0%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.0%

Away & No BTTS1.3%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.50.5%

Draw & Under 2.50.3%

BTTS & Under 2.50.3%

Home & Under 2.50.2%

Away & Under 2.50.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.598.0%

HT Over 1.590.4%

HT Both Teams Score74.0%

2nd Half More Goals54.7%

HT Away Win41.6%

HT Home Win37.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT/FT Away/Away30.9%

HT/FT Home/Home26.2%

HT Draw20.8%

Equal Goals Each Half13.1%

HT Under 1.59.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.0%

HT/FT Home/Away6.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT Under 0.52.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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