Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Union St. Gilloise 65.2% Draw 22.9% Anderlecht 11.8%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Anderlecht: 9 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Union St. Gilloise

D L W D W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:8 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Anderlecht

W W L W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Union St. Gilloise 4wins ·0 draws ·Anderlecht 1wins

Union St. Gilloise 5-1 AnderlechtMay 24, 2026

Union St. Gilloise 3-1 AnderlechtApr 26, 2026

Union St. Gilloise 0-1 AnderlechtNov 30, 2025

Union St. Gilloise 2-0 AnderlechtAug 31, 2025

Union St. Gilloise 1-0 AnderlechtMay 10, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Union St. Gilloise win65.2%

Draw22.9%

Anderlecht win11.8%

Over 1.5 goals74.0%

Over 2.5 goals93.1%

Over 3.5 goals26.2%

Both teams to score84.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.3%

HT Over 0.5

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.5%

Home or Away (12)85.5%

Draw No Bet - Home83.9%

Both Halves Over 0.581.7%

Goal in Both Halves81.7%

Home Win71.7%

Draw or Away (X2)27.6%

Draw No Bet - Away16.1%

Draw13.8%

Away Win13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals84.6%

Over 3.5 Goals69.1%

4+ Goals69.1%

Under 5.5 Goals66.7%

Over 4.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals49.2%

2-4 Goals43.6%

3-4 Goals33.8%

Over 5.5 Goals33.3%

Under 3.5 Goals30.9%

1-3 Goals29.3%

2-3 Goals25.2%

Exactly 3 Goals15.5%

Under 2.5 Goals15.4%

1-2 Goals13.9%

Exactly 2 Goals9.8%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score76.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.3%

Home Clean Sheet22.7%

Home Win to Nil21.9%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 1.583.2%

Away Over 0.576.6%

Home Over 2.562.9%

Home 3+ Goals62.9%

Away Over 1.543.1%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 022.7%

Home Exactly 220.3%

Away Over 2.518.4%

Away 3+ Goals18.4%

Home Exactly 112.4%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.3%

Home to win by 3+35.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 218.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 18.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.5%

Home & Over 2.564.3%

Home & BTTS49.9%

Home & No BTTS21.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.1%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

Away & Over 2.511.6%

Away & BTTS10.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.2%

HT Over 1.563.0%

HT Home Win56.8%

HT/FT Home/Home51.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Both Teams Score37.4%

HT Under 1.537.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT Away Win16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT Under 0.511.8%

HT/FT Away/Away7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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