Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge

Kick-off 19:15 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

Union St. Gilloise 73.8% Draw 18.0% Cercle Brugge 8.1%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Union St. Gilloise: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Union St. Gilloise

D D L W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:8 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Cercle Brugge

D D L L W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:14 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 5

Union St. Gilloise 2wins ·2 draws ·Cercle Brugge 1wins

Union St. Gilloise 1-1 Cercle BruggeDec 26, 2025

Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Cercle BruggeNov 22, 2025

Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Cercle BruggeDec 8, 2024

Union St. Gilloise 1-3 Cercle BruggeOct 27, 2024

Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Cercle BruggeMay 19, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Union St. Gilloise win73.8%

Draw18.0%

Cercle Brugge win8.1%

Over 1.5 goals80.2%

Over 2.5 goals97.6%

Over 3.5 goals34.3%

Both teams to score93.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.4%

Away Team to Score

89.2%

Away Over 0.5

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.2%

Goal in Both Halves88.2%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Home or Draw (1X)74.3%

Draw No Bet - Home70.3%

Home Win58.7%

Draw or Away (X2)40.4%

Draw No Bet - Away29.7%

Away Win24.8%

Draw15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.9%

Over 2.5 Goals91.4%

Over 3.5 Goals81.0%

4+ Goals81.0%

Over 4.5 Goals66.3%

Under 5.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 5.5 Goals49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals33.7%

2-4 Goals30.6%

3-4 Goals25.1%

Under 3.5 Goals19.0%

1-3 Goals17.8%

2-3 Goals15.8%

Exactly 3 Goals10.4%

Under 2.5 Goals8.6%

1-2 Goals7.4%

Exactly 2 Goals5.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score89.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.8%

Home Clean Sheet9.9%

Home Win to Nil9.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.4%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Away Over 0.589.2%

Home Over 1.584.4%

Away Over 1.566.3%

Home Over 2.565.0%

Home 3+ Goals65.0%

Away Over 2.540.0%

Away 3+ Goals40.0%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 122.9%

Home Exactly 219.3%

Home Exactly 111.4%

Away Exactly 09.9%

Home Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away73.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.1%

Home to win by 3+26.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 215.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 111.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.1%

Away to win by 3+6.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.5%

Home & Over 2.555.7%

Home & BTTS49.1%

Away & Over 2.523.1%

Away & BTTS21.8%

Draw & BTTS15.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.6%

Home & No BTTS9.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & Under 2.53.1%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.3%

HT Over 1.572.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.9%

HT Both Teams Score50.5%

HT Home Win48.6%

HT/FT Home/Home40.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.5%

HT Draw25.7%

HT Away Win25.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT Under 0.57.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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