Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Union St. Gilloise 72.5% Draw 18.9% Zulte Waregem 8.5%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 91.4% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 8.6% on the only losing outcome.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Zulte Waregem: 8 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

91.4%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

8.6%

Only the uncovered result loses

Union St. Gilloise

L W D W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 15:13 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Zulte Waregem

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 15:5 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 5

Union St. Gilloise 5wins ·0 draws ·Zulte Waregem 0wins

Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Zulte WaregemDec 20, 2025

Union St. Gilloise 4-1 Zulte WaregemNov 1, 2025

Union St. Gilloise 4-0 Zulte WaregemFeb 5, 2023

Union St. Gilloise 3-1 Zulte WaregemSep 4, 2022

Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Zulte WaregemDec 15, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Union St. Gilloise win72.5%

Draw18.9%

Zulte Waregem win8.5%

Over 1.5 goals79.1%

Over 2.5 goals91.6%

Over 3.5 goals32.7%

Both teams to score86.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.8%

HT Over 0.5

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.6%

Home or Draw (1X)83.0%

Both Halves Over 0.582.1%

Goal in Both Halves82.1%

Draw No Bet - Home80.6%

Home Win68.3%

Draw or Away (X2)31.2%

Draw No Bet - Away19.4%

Away Win16.4%

Draw14.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.6%

Over 2.5 Goals85.2%

Over 3.5 Goals70.0%

4+ Goals70.0%

Under 5.5 Goals65.7%

Over 4.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals48.2%

2-4 Goals42.9%

Over 5.5 Goals34.3%

3-4 Goals33.4%

Under 3.5 Goals30.0%

1-3 Goals28.6%

2-3 Goals24.7%

Exactly 3 Goals15.2%

Under 2.5 Goals14.8%

1-2 Goals13.5%

Exactly 2 Goals9.5%

Under 1.5 Goals5.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score79.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.8%

Home Clean Sheet20.0%

Home Win to Nil19.1%

Away Clean Sheet4.1%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.582.2%

Away Over 0.579.5%

Home Over 2.561.3%

Home 3+ Goals61.3%

Away Over 1.547.4%

Away Exactly 132.0%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Away Over 2.521.7%

Away 3+ Goals21.7%

Home Exactly 220.9%

Away Exactly 020.0%

Home Exactly 113.1%

Home Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.0%

Home to win by 3+32.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 217.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 19.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 24.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.6%

Away to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.0%

Home & Over 2.561.4%

Home & BTTS49.1%

Home & No BTTS19.1%

Away & Over 2.514.0%

Draw & BTTS14.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.2%

Away & BTTS13.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.7%

Home & Under 2.56.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.4%

HT Over 1.563.5%

HT Home Win54.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT/FT Home/Home48.0%

HT Both Teams Score39.2%

HT Under 1.536.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.0%

HT Away Win18.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.7%

HT Under 0.511.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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